| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2588 | 0.2168 | 0.0755 | -0.8116 | 1.3347 | -0.3366 | -0.9544 |
| (p-val) | (0.4619 ) | (0.3648 ) | (0.6429 ) | (0.015 ) | (0 ) | (0.0586 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0194 | 0.0785 | 0 | -0.5731 | 1.312 | -0.3199 | -0.9057 |
| (p-val) | (0.9728 ) | (0.8125 ) | (NA ) | (0.298 ) | (0 ) | (0.0649 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.0694 | 0 | -0.5549 | 1.3065 | -0.3138 | -0.9096 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.6138 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.067 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5299 | 1.2991 | -0.3063 | -0.9085 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0704 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.544 | 0.8501 | 0 | -0.4108 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.1625 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5339 | 0.6093 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 7.29099198631763 |
| -317.67052349969 |
| 752.986195027177 |
| 264.20087838963 |
| -244.685583319412 |
| -243.106524124434 |
| -234.963326700127 |
| -179.209892865738 |
| 138.234872076837 |
| 711.691640099717 |
| -34.3922019289575 |
| -549.252085963119 |
| 484.314107350969 |
| 41.3999623464213 |
| -200.683055505775 |
| -575.220251657367 |
| -154.013983644894 |
| -406.042574175369 |
| 28.1860323861742 |
| -175.433516450572 |
| 683.395455145731 |
| 472.281876611438 |
| 0.424045542037301 |
| 609.608505458106 |
| -511.364983167424 |
| 171.415157691497 |
| 870.284555681864 |
| 2.63290261180218 |
| -303.808544055535 |
| 390.535054825936 |
| -39.9162316529414 |
| 464.192631530420 |
| -170.163626530834 |
| -31.8384841931521 |
| 571.825321499558 |
| 133.549527700790 |
| -689.343936121031 |
| -458.760922532416 |
| -112.174690998967 |
| 138.023457732829 |
| 128.572948697069 |
| 771.649696244093 |
| 682.990498208403 |
| 842.843007884446 |
| 449.143641728952 |
| -18.0145052958116 |
| 438.198582583624 |
| -34.169226380859 |
| 595.230452330406 |
| -770.182780933633 |
| 505.83785022502 |
| -703.528310091271 |
| 421.180787579281 |
| 66.2436851387633 |
| -512.776614601814 |
| 85.505899470764 |
| -129.925306556974 |
| 602.043538394613 |
| -20.9119754507666 |
| -754.945023629717 |
| 125.024722010281 |
| -232.224488581438 |
| -255.51192246168 |
| 32.856514835018 |
| 617.616383495134 |
| -361.286898554631 |
| 253.341070639742 |
| -355.85400898633 |
| -257.285649962161 |
| 349.933198016063 |
| 490.988294579724 |
| -363.696154319455 |
