Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 785.8 | 723.218994947252 | 27.3330394632159 | 821.047965589532 | -62.5810050527484 |
2 | 819.3 | 821.025514220258 | -21.7498038342756 | 839.324289614017 | 1.72551422025822 |
3 | 849.4 | 876.024055874798 | -34.8246695132999 | 857.600613638502 | 26.6240558747977 |
4 | 880.4 | 909.763209427012 | -24.936350625787 | 875.973141198775 | 29.3632094270116 |
5 | 900.1 | 918.182386593958 | -12.3280553530065 | 894.345668759049 | 18.0823865939581 |
6 | 937.2 | 970.891089530729 | -9.71992159381622 | 913.228832063087 | 33.6910895307291 |
7 | 948.9 | 986.53979861381 | -20.8517939809352 | 932.111995367126 | 37.6397986138093 |
8 | 952.6 | 936.332386110632 | 17.6676867673212 | 951.199927122047 | -16.2676138893681 |
9 | 947.3 | 882.824991125659 | 41.4871499973735 | 970.287858876968 | -64.4750088743414 |
10 | 974.2 | 939.730453533478 | 19.3094748441347 | 989.360071622387 | -34.4695464665216 |
11 | 1000.8 | 989.295912009658 | 3.87180362253598 | 1008.43228436781 | -11.5040879903420 |
12 | 1032.8 | 1017.85412465304 | 14.7415203401073 | 1033.00435500685 | -14.9458753469578 |
13 | 1050.7 | 1016.49053489089 | 27.3330394632159 | 1057.57642564589 | -34.2094651091106 |
14 | 1057.3 | 1052.98605890302 | -21.7498038342756 | 1083.36374493125 | -4.31394109697681 |
15 | 1075.4 | 1076.47360529669 | -34.8246695132999 | 1109.15106421661 | 1.07360529668995 |
16 | 1118.4 | 1130.57498556675 | -24.936350625787 | 1131.16136505904 | 12.1749855667499 |
17 | 1179.8 | 1218.75638945154 | -12.3280553530065 | 1153.17166590146 | 38.9563894515418 |
18 | 1227 | 1291.76599747425 | -9.71992159381622 | 1171.95392411956 | 64.7659974742514 |
19 | 1257.8 | 1345.71561164327 | -20.8517939809352 | 1190.73618233766 | 87.9156116432705 |
20 | 1251.5 | 1274.77169040716 | 17.6676867673212 | 1210.56062282552 | 23.2716904071588 |
21 | 1236.3 | 1200.72778668925 | 41.4871499973735 | 1230.38506331338 | -35.572213310749 |
22 | 1170.6 | 1070.48573374482 | 19.3094748441347 | 1251.40479141105 | -100.114266255180 |
23 | 1213.1 | 1149.90367686875 | 3.87180362253598 | 1272.42451950872 | -63.1963231312513 |
24 | 1265.5 | 1221.70192254505 | 14.7415203401073 | 1294.55655711484 | -43.7980774549462 |
25 | 1300.8 | 1257.57836581582 | 27.3330394632159 | 1316.68859472096 | -43.2216341841784 |
26 | 1348.4 | 1376.32053727159 | -21.7498038342756 | 1342.22926656269 | 27.9205372715892 |
27 | 1371.9 | 1410.85473110889 | -34.8246695132999 | 1367.76993840441 | 38.9547311088891 |
28 | 1403.3 | 1437.2454601717 | -24.936350625787 | 1394.29089045409 | 33.9454601717 |
29 | 1451.8 | 1495.11621284924 | -12.3280553530065 | 1420.81184250376 | 43.3162128492431 |
30 | 1474.2 | 1519.21982442130 | -9.71992159381622 | 1438.90009717252 | 45.0198244212959 |
31 | 1438.2 | 1440.26344213966 | -20.8517939809352 | 1456.98835184128 | 2.06344213965804 |
32 | 1513.6 | 1544.99025605536 | 17.6676867673212 | 1464.54205717732 | 31.3902560553586 |
33 | 1562.2 | 1610.81708748926 | 41.4871499973735 | 1472.09576251336 | 48.6170874892632 |
34 | 1546.2 | 1603.81859978525 | 19.3094748441347 | 1469.27192537062 | 57.6185997852472 |
35 | 1527.5 | 1584.68010814959 | 3.87180362253598 | 1466.44808822787 | 57.180108149591 |
36 | 1418.7 | 1368.76482145142 | 14.7415203401073 | 1453.89365820847 | -49.9351785485808 |
37 | 1448.5 | 1428.32773234771 | 27.3330394632159 | 1441.33922818907 | -20.1722676522900 |
38 | 1492.1 | 1583.54646958150 | -21.7498038342756 | 1422.40333425278 | 91.4464695814966 |
39 | 1395.4 | 1422.15722919682 | -34.8246695132999 | 1403.46744031648 | 26.7572291968161 |
40 | 1403.7 | 1453.85520586307 | -24.936350625787 | 1378.48114476272 | 50.15520586307 |
41 | 1316.6 | 1292.03320614406 | -12.3280553530065 | 1353.49484920895 | -24.5667938559441 |
42 | 1274.5 | 1238.92156726318 | -9.71992159381622 | 1319.79835433064 | -35.5784327368226 |
43 | 1264.4 | 1263.54993452861 | -20.8517939809352 | 1286.10185945233 | -0.850065471391872 |
44 | 1323.9 | 1390.48329547185 | 17.6676867673212 | 1239.64901776083 | 66.5832954718464 |
45 | 1332.1 | 1429.51667393329 | 41.4871499973735 | 1193.19617606934 | 97.4166739332886 |
46 | 1250.2 | 1342.42261401966 | 19.3094748441347 | 1138.66791113621 | 92.2226140196594 |
47 | 1096.7 | 1105.38855017439 | 3.87180362253598 | 1084.13964620307 | 8.68855017438977 |
48 | 1080.8 | 1119.19650600900 | 14.7415203401073 | 1027.66197365089 | 38.3965060090018 |
49 | 1039.2 | 1079.88265943808 | 27.3330394632159 | 971.184301098707 | 40.6826594380768 |
50 | 792 | 687.860123409571 | -21.7498038342756 | 917.889680424704 | -104.139876590429 |
51 | 746.6 | 663.429609762598 | -34.8246695132999 | 864.595059750702 | -83.1703902374019 |
52 | 688.8 | 569.727230508675 | -24.936350625787 | 832.809120117112 | -119.072769491325 |
53 | 715.8 | 642.904874869483 | -12.3280553530065 | 801.023180483523 | -72.8951251305165 |
54 | 672.9 | 567.390088258918 | -9.71992159381622 | 788.129833334898 | -105.509911741082 |
55 | 629.5 | 504.615307794662 | -20.8517939809352 | 775.236486186273 | -124.884692205338 |
56 | 681.2 | 580.216864735105 | 17.6676867673212 | 764.515448497574 | -100.983135264895 |
57 | 755.4 | 715.518439193751 | 41.4871499973735 | 753.794410808875 | -39.8815608062486 |
58 | 760.6 | 755.706261159293 | 19.3094748441347 | 746.184263996573 | -4.89373884070721 |
59 | 765.9 | 789.354079193194 | 3.87180362253598 | 738.57411718427 | 23.4540791931942 |
60 | 836.8 | 924.166709211331 | 14.7415203401073 | 734.691770448561 | 87.3667092113311 |
61 | 904.9 | 1051.65753682393 | 27.3330394632159 | 730.809423712853 | 146.757536823931 |