ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||
Iteration | ar1 | ma1 |
Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.8214 | -0.5962 |
(p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0068 ) |
Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3283 | 0 |
(p-val) | (0.0094 ) | (NA ) |
Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
Value |
0.785799545863218 |
31.1593736697542 |
19.4033124776685 |
17.4359642687426 |
4.53628541917748 |
23.5923304946156 |
-4.7198973882611 |
-8.72154499094871 |
-13.5371665200489 |
23.1828738721255 |
18.3259132352078 |
21.0770218498811 |
4.18188208511769 |
-5.60917577609835 |
9.33510521481357 |
33.6986894501914 |
46.1715266797935 |
24.2943975490087 |
6.51539261170062 |
-27.7135022383665 |
-26.5471060767476 |
-69.0416971243826 |
55.3031805810357 |
50.4619039469911 |
22.3443299358671 |
31.9269580590039 |
3.43706612609741 |
14.1472129548394 |
31.1434591091383 |
1.13075789074785 |
-53.724222505049 |
72.9406031010011 |
30.1540495810811 |
-37.941222333711 |
-28.1773119921118 |
-110.238818510414 |
53.4435349058076 |
50.9844584587902 |
-102.116228134256 |
26.8475000291739 |
-77.911876739967 |
-17.0078724059642 |
14.3396242909453 |
76.3443646506728 |
4.84276188921558 |
-85.7480509526581 |
-137.35051520454 |
28.2952002402253 |
-11.6720472616744 |
-219.990055775818 |
26.4898287954793 |
-4.71838671661101 |
71.6613649112721 |
-22.3550373657054 |
-21.4910497186802 |
74.5347008635819 |
76.170478107233 |
-10.3348082816781 |
-5.13222450406465 |
63.4872041348714 |
47.7144200643891 |