| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 325412 | 325412 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 326011 | 325942.550841046 | 27.7527563550360 | 68.4491589535562 | 0.0495217931639672 |
| 3 | 328282 | 327718.720947531 | 76.5255332056774 | 563.279052468835 | 0.251364284016571 |
| 4 | 317480 | 319986.258518802 | 7.48005821959097 | -2506.25851880216 | -1.17182663707953 |
| 5 | 317539 | 317443.820704185 | -5.78795037702842 | 95.1792958145417 | -0.382385070780442 |
| 6 | 313737 | 314384.460827008 | -22.9290117275542 | -647.460827007662 | -0.457691395941157 |
| 7 | 312276 | 312519.657431044 | -34.0127038343482 | -243.657431043558 | -0.276031371176660 |
| 8 | 309391 | 309980.391879649 | -49.2462602436357 | -589.391879649354 | -0.375443784236939 |
| 9 | 302950 | 304397.933526114 | -82.6566969766221 | -1447.93352611425 | -0.82922368442539 |
| 10 | 300316 | 300840.562711304 | -103.476525562518 | -524.562711303572 | -0.520727406257012 |
| 11 | 304035 | 303054.478701094 | -89.6800411153306 | 980.52129890612 | 0.347285143547759 |
| 12 | 333476 | 326654.123083469 | 50.5189556438265 | 6821.87691653061 | 3.55004922769262 |
| 13 | 337698 | 335235.919206305 | -266.862225657771 | 2462.08079369462 | 1.45510683699584 |
| 14 | 335932 | 336715.200068716 | -242.484768370612 | -783.200068715771 | 0.241364074838444 |
| 15 | 323931 | 326237.26315566 | -433.235918536539 | -2306.26315566009 | -1.45975595457309 |
| 16 | 313927 | 318390.442015713 | -507.018859113401 | -4463.44201571332 | -1.10617165519554 |
| 17 | 314485 | 314626.291099368 | -522.396857989932 | -141.291099368494 | -0.488189608088228 |
| 18 | 313218 | 313748.761252682 | -523.648132440838 | -530.761252681949 | -0.0532020740281788 |
| 19 | 309664 | 310805.376437261 | -532.588714541077 | -1141.37643726096 | -0.362366830012397 |
| 20 | 302963 | 304558.933564481 | -555.255229640237 | -1595.93356448105 | -0.855544881056838 |
| 21 | 298989 | 300238.041429651 | -570.987028556055 | -1249.04142965143 | -0.563874815798923 |
| 22 | 298423 | 299128.510390822 | -573.350834141211 | -705.510390822258 | -0.0806688149030882 |
| 23 | 310631 | 310613.566440552 | -528.009733379629 | 17.4335594475797 | 1.80596068903270 |
| 24 | 329765 | 322025.222928121 | -539.454475321985 | 7739.77707187923 | 1.78781619906444 |
| 25 | 335083 | 329559.115401028 | -631.82025307306 | 5523.88459897229 | 1.25528891756047 |
| 26 | 327616 | 326666.588822281 | -644.617825091323 | 949.411177718565 | -0.329645300284093 |
| 27 | 309119 | 314118.819384524 | -794.790093684242 | -4999.81938452365 | -1.71829631337343 |
| 28 | 295916 | 303114.825186792 | -892.576431540558 | -7198.8251867916 | -1.51571341892716 |
| 29 | 291413 | 294177.456320278 | -936.38099634766 | -2764.45632027818 | -1.20466977238556 |
| 30 | 291542 | 291407.589022158 | -942.811519159777 | 134.410977841569 | -0.274670469893185 |
| 31 | 284678 | 285795.125263775 | -957.554687138183 | -1117.12526377512 | -0.699316228857779 |
| 32 | 276475 | 278771.405241583 | -978.141342447736 | -2296.4052415833 | -0.908305506633994 |
| 33 | 272566 | 274508.135275656 | -990.302102731672 | -1942.13527565565 | -0.491951414355052 |
| 34 | 264981 | 270422.713778753 | -1001.49868001539 | -5441.71377875314 | -0.463557031641652 |
| 35 | 263290 | 267626.089017881 | -1005.31407252620 | -4336.08901788113 | -0.268634185383439 |
| 36 | 296806 | 283793.078293823 | -1034.22825909059 | 13012.9217061774 | 2.57470227497034 |
| 37 | 303598 | 293129.320970829 | -1080.62890205628 | 10468.6790291707 | 1.57351518540293 |
| 38 | 286994 | 285471.127444624 | -1103.64061072822 | 1522.87255537598 | -0.970935668730854 |
| 39 | 276427 | 279858.112439805 | -1144.26277097603 | -3431.11243980523 | -0.657801796744838 |
| 40 | 266424 | 273542.62937679 | -1188.01010664923 | -7118.62937678974 | -0.766155339360943 |
| 41 | 267153 | 270130.176656009 | -1200.75931559783 | -2977.17665600925 | -0.332625262009254 |
| 42 | 268381 | 267359.699037066 | -1206.72687033244 | 1021.30096293444 | -0.235117805719063 |
| 43 | 262522 | 262992.919536849 | -1216.59631580056 | -470.919536849454 | -0.473299442041557 |
| 44 | 255542 | 257929.397263980 | -1228.70437671734 | -2387.39726398050 | -0.576123204837344 |
| 45 | 253158 | 254454.899598956 | -1236.03022317791 | -1296.89959895595 | -0.336340294217171 |
| 46 | 243803 | 250362.364671481 | -1244.14280049282 | -6559.36467148068 | -0.427674492397063 |
| 47 | 250741 | 257031.440444633 | -1234.21333799261 | -6290.44044463284 | 1.18382262104702 |
| 48 | 280445 | 266336.422067546 | -1246.87889199199 | 14108.5779324541 | 1.57987078392883 |
| 49 | 285257 | 270928.060782321 | -1256.80004007362 | 14328.9392176792 | 0.878027098654857 |
| 50 | 270976 | 268845.370561896 | -1259.16311300585 | 2130.62943810352 | -0.122374520755582 |
| 51 | 261076 | 264450.422250399 | -1280.71886264754 | -3374.42225039899 | -0.460536676492489 |
| 52 | 255603 | 262408.423617773 | -1286.28569560455 | -6805.42361777327 | -0.112765499690225 |
| 53 | 260376 | 262351.837292276 | -1279.31811543432 | -1975.83729227595 | 0.183644742211955 |
| 54 | 263903 | 261637.353775415 | -1277.03579837621 | 2265.64622458499 | 0.0845747778931377 |
| 55 | 264291 | 262485.069912478 | -1270.19665558059 | 1805.93008752211 | 0.318263581732331 |
| 56 | 263276 | 263710.672990517 | -1262.7174509006 | -434.672990517124 | 0.373832364138744 |
| 57 | 262572 | 263126.060137877 | -1260.78421610747 | -554.060137877382 | 0.101553242562512 |
| 58 | 256167 | 264490.021168332 | -1254.91654979578 | -8323.02116833202 | 0.392855592228209 |
| 59 | 264221 | 270948.083393656 | -1248.20419905592 | -6727.08339365612 | 1.15377719506950 |
| 60 | 293860 | 278477.38456098 | -1253.60663937016 | 15382.6154390202 | 1.31483654014780 |
| 61 | 300713 | 284007.174677601 | -1256.08760761612 | 16705.8253223985 | 1.01617355692354 |
| 62 | 287224 | 284283.511451435 | -1252.05678304184 | 2940.48854856494 | 0.227438010041143 |
