Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 621 | 0 | 63 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 325412 | 314472.338582408 | 22528.7036520167 | 313822.957765575 | -10939.6614175918 |
2 | 326011 | 323745.175202946 | 14011.088210348 | 314265.736586706 | -2265.82479705353 |
3 | 328282 | 335640.752360360 | 6214.73223180358 | 314708.515407836 | 7358.75236036046 |
4 | 317480 | 322898.355960872 | -3058.85249673189 | 315120.496535860 | 5418.35596087226 |
5 | 317539 | 321657.759978620 | -2112.23764250279 | 315532.477663883 | 4118.75997861952 |
6 | 313737 | 313208.331526176 | -1686.63032315432 | 315952.298796979 | -528.668473824451 |
7 | 312276 | 312873.905653478 | -4694.02558355252 | 316372.119930074 | 597.905653478345 |
8 | 309391 | 311413.905328532 | -9363.8726170059 | 316731.967288474 | 2022.90532853157 |
9 | 302950 | 301167.502348333 | -12359.3169952074 | 317091.814646874 | -1782.49765166698 |
10 | 300316 | 300684.564439968 | -17076.6166014324 | 317024.052161464 | 368.564439968206 |
11 | 304035 | 301753.026622756 | -10639.3162988098 | 316956.289676054 | -2281.97337724408 |
12 | 333476 | 331911.435937268 | 18236.3487384872 | 316804.215324245 | -1564.56406273192 |
13 | 337698 | 336215.155375548 | 22528.7036520167 | 316652.140972436 | -1482.84462445223 |
14 | 335932 | 341440.445700041 | 14011.088210348 | 316412.466089611 | 5508.44570004137 |
15 | 323931 | 325474.476561411 | 6214.73223180358 | 316172.791206786 | 1543.47656141070 |
16 | 313927 | 314898.608778239 | -3058.85249673189 | 316014.243718493 | 971.60877823917 |
17 | 314485 | 315226.541412303 | -2112.23764250279 | 315855.6962302 | 741.54141230305 |
18 | 313218 | 312487.203944343 | -1686.63032315432 | 315635.426378812 | -730.796055657382 |
19 | 309664 | 308606.869056129 | -4694.02558355252 | 315415.156527424 | -1057.13094387116 |
20 | 302963 | 300516.583771211 | -9363.8726170059 | 314773.288845794 | -2446.41622878856 |
21 | 298989 | 296205.895831042 | -12359.3169952074 | 314131.421164165 | -2783.10416895774 |
22 | 298423 | 301062.481365667 | -17076.6166014324 | 312860.135235766 | 2639.48136566661 |
23 | 310631 | 320312.466991443 | -10639.3162988098 | 311588.849307366 | 9681.46699144348 |
24 | 329765 | 331552.615572765 | 18236.3487384872 | 309741.035688748 | 1787.61557276506 |
25 | 335083 | 339744.074277854 | 22528.7036520167 | 307893.222070129 | 4661.07427785418 |
26 | 327616 | 335739.928218372 | 14011.088210348 | 305480.983571280 | 8123.92821837164 |
27 | 309119 | 308954.522695765 | 6214.73223180358 | 303068.745072432 | -164.477304235159 |
28 | 295916 | 294821.812193233 | -3058.85249673189 | 300069.040303499 | -1094.18780676735 |
29 | 291413 | 287868.902107936 | -2112.23764250279 | 297069.335534567 | -3544.09789206414 |
30 | 291542 | 290846.746667485 | -1686.63032315432 | 293923.883655669 | -695.253332515073 |
31 | 284678 | 283271.593806781 | -4694.02558355252 | 290778.431776772 | -1406.40619321936 |
32 | 276475 | 274381.573073312 | -9363.8726170059 | 287932.299543694 | -2093.42692668777 |
33 | 272566 | 272405.149684592 | -12359.3169952074 | 285086.167310615 | -160.850315407908 |
34 | 264981 | 264346.243146358 | -17076.6166014324 | 282692.373455074 | -634.756853641884 |
35 | 263290 | 256920.736699277 | -10639.3162988098 | 280298.579599533 | -6369.2633007234 |
36 | 296806 | 297073.180370414 | 18236.3487384872 | 278302.470891099 | 267.180370414222 |
37 | 303598 | 308360.934165319 | 22528.7036520167 | 276306.362182664 | 4762.93416531943 |
38 | 286994 | 285377.306687556 | 14011.088210348 | 274599.605102097 | -1616.69331244449 |
39 | 276427 | 273746.419746667 | 6214.73223180358 | 272892.848021529 | -2680.58025333268 |
40 | 266424 | 264540.526635960 | -3058.85249673189 | 271366.325860772 | -1883.47336403979 |
41 | 267153 | 266578.433942489 | -2112.23764250279 | 269839.803700014 | -574.566057511431 |
42 | 268381 | 269978.349616801 | -1686.63032315432 | 268470.280706353 | 1597.3496168009 |
43 | 262522 | 262637.26787086 | -4694.02558355252 | 267100.757712693 | 115.267870859941 |
44 | 255542 | 254619.645420988 | -9363.8726170059 | 265828.227196018 | -922.354579012084 |
45 | 253158 | 254119.620315864 | -12359.3169952074 | 264555.696679343 | 961.6203158641 |
46 | 243803 | 241085.257404177 | -17076.6166014324 | 263597.359197255 | -2717.7425958229 |
47 | 250741 | 249482.294583643 | -10639.3162988098 | 262639.021715167 | -1258.70541635738 |
48 | 280445 | 280395.059236098 | 18236.3487384872 | 262258.592025415 | -49.9407639022102 |
49 | 285257 | 286107.134012320 | 22528.7036520167 | 261878.162335663 | 850.134012320457 |
50 | 270976 | 265634.744844007 | 14011.088210348 | 262306.166945645 | -5341.25515599258 |
51 | 261076 | 253203.09621257 | 6214.73223180358 | 262734.171555626 | -7872.90378742991 |
52 | 255603 | 250499.841959281 | -3058.85249673189 | 263765.010537451 | -5103.1580407189 |
53 | 260376 | 258068.388123228 | -2112.23764250279 | 264795.849519275 | -2307.61187677237 |
54 | 263903 | 263185.486049595 | -1686.63032315432 | 266307.144273559 | -717.513950405002 |
55 | 264291 | 265457.586555709 | -4694.02558355252 | 267818.439027843 | 1166.58655570907 |
56 | 263276 | 266611.612476806 | -9363.8726170059 | 269304.2601402 | 3335.61247680604 |
57 | 262572 | 266713.235742651 | -12359.3169952074 | 270790.081252556 | 4141.23574265122 |
58 | 256167 | 257083.587092163 | -17076.6166014324 | 272327.029509269 | 916.587092163216 |
59 | 264221 | 265217.338532828 | -10639.3162988098 | 273863.977765982 | 996.338532827795 |
60 | 293860 | 294072.924398415 | 18236.3487384872 | 275410.726863098 | 212.924398415023 |
61 | 300713 | 301939.82038777 | 22528.7036520167 | 276957.475960214 | 1226.82038776978 |
62 | 287224 | 281951.377068058 | 14011.088210348 | 278485.534721594 | -5272.62293194205 |