Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 325412 | NA | NA | 1.08837280424321 | NA |
2 | 326011 | NA | NA | 1.05568185749621 | NA |
3 | 328282 | NA | NA | 1.01496970182463 | NA |
4 | 317480 | NA | NA | 0.984632916839484 | NA |
5 | 317539 | NA | NA | 0.989403446223187 | NA |
6 | 313737 | NA | NA | 0.995753404241022 | NA |
7 | 312276 | 311557.78688835 | 316420.666666667 | 0.984631598720954 | 1.00230523242196 |
8 | 309391 | 307083.893271311 | 317345.958333333 | 0.967662846201296 | 1.00751295258150 |
9 | 302950 | 306506.898029094 | 317578.041666667 | 0.96513882515469 | 0.988395373637705 |
10 | 300316 | 301478.207485489 | 317248.708333333 | 0.950289787054787 | 0.996144970161582 |
11 | 304035 | 305501.475564377 | 316973.416666667 | 0.96380787631048 | 0.995199775838503 |
12 | 333476 | 329388.198491489 | 316824.541666667 | 1.03965493569005 | 1.01241028527200 |
13 | 337698 | 344681.227564733 | 316694.083333333 | 1.08837280424321 | 0.979740040923982 |
14 | 335932 | 333930.557985069 | 316317.416666667 | 1.05568185749621 | 1.00599358749019 |
15 | 323931 | 320613.239066425 | 315884.541666667 | 1.01496970182463 | 1.01034817196955 |
16 | 313927 | 310790.149266788 | 315640.625 | 0.984632916839484 | 1.01009314722687 |
17 | 314485 | 312489.803993357 | 315836.583333333 | 0.989403446223187 | 1.0063848355407 |
18 | 313218 | 314615.050895155 | 315956.791666667 | 0.995753404241022 | 0.995559491222115 |
19 | 309664 | 310841.508426597 | 315693.208333333 | 0.984631598720954 | 0.996211868766956 |
20 | 302963 | 305043.858395093 | 315237.75 | 0.967662846201296 | 0.993178494377692 |
21 | 298989 | 303318.1195649 | 314274.083333333 | 0.96513882515469 | 0.985727461415394 |
22 | 298423 | 297351.811657651 | 312906.458333333 | 0.950289787054787 | 1.00360242749616 |
23 | 310631 | 299931.870799148 | 311194.666666667 | 0.96380787631048 | 1.03567186498836 |
24 | 329765 | 321596.634532827 | 309330.166666667 | 1.03965493569005 | 1.02539941215193 |
25 | 335083 | 334550.47210737 | 307385.916666667 | 1.08837280424321 | 1.00159177145761 |
26 | 327616 | 322237.561810976 | 305241.166666667 | 1.05568185749621 | 1.01669091014343 |
27 | 309119 | 307572.908337383 | 303036.541666667 | 1.01496970182463 | 1.00502674852273 |
28 | 295916 | 295923.710198258 | 300542.166666667 | 0.984632916839484 | 0.999973945317686 |
29 | 291413 | 294027.16466054 | 297176.208333333 | 0.989403446223187 | 0.991109104957843 |
30 | 291542 | 292582.596175666 | 293830.375 | 0.995753404241022 | 0.996443410547081 |
31 | 284678 | 286670.771941195 | 291145.208333333 | 0.984631598720954 | 0.9930485695221 |
32 | 276475 | 278823.098251576 | 288140.75 | 0.967662846201296 | 0.991578537551945 |
33 | 272566 | 275147.56710805 | 285086 | 0.96513882515469 | 0.990617517955244 |
34 | 264981 | 268452.113394042 | 282495 | 0.950289787054787 | 0.987069897308102 |
35 | 263290 | 270112.297644686 | 280255.333333333 | 0.96380787631048 | 0.974742735876246 |
36 | 296806 | 289314.612357405 | 278279.458333333 | 1.03965493569005 | 1.02589356818708 |
37 | 303598 | 300816.719830786 | 276391.25 | 1.08837280424321 | 1.00924576323676 |
38 | 286994 | 289885.883380797 | 274595.875 | 1.05568185749621 | 0.990024062755074 |
39 | 276427 | 277000.456173468 | 272915 | 1.01496970182463 | 0.997929764515952 |
40 | 266424 | 267055.996184129 | 271223.916666667 | 0.984632916839484 | 0.997633469410312 |
41 | 267153 | 266959.477430202 | 269818.625 | 0.989403446223187 | 1.00072491365229 |
42 | 268381 | 267473.346416523 | 268614.041666667 | 0.995753404241022 | 1.00339343562877 |
43 | 262522 | 263062.178046030 | 267168.125 | 0.984631598720954 | 0.997946576546876 |
44 | 255542 | 257143.337929571 | 265736.5 | 0.967662846201296 | 0.993772586361894 |
45 | 253158 | 255211.136752124 | 264429.458333333 | 0.96513882515469 | 0.991955144363005 |
46 | 243803 | 250248.322637813 | 263338.958333333 | 0.950289787054787 | 0.974244292349799 |
47 | 250741 | 253101.450055759 | 262605.708333333 | 0.96380787631048 | 0.990673897540929 |
48 | 280445 | 272531.76596325 | 262136.75 | 1.03965493569005 | 1.02903600616530 |
49 | 285257 | 285179.659612423 | 262023.875 | 1.08837280424321 | 1.00027119882141 |
50 | 270976 | 277031.857097179 | 262419.833333333 | 1.05568185749621 | 0.97814021405107 |
51 | 261076 | 267073.375843155 | 263134.333333333 | 1.01496970182463 | 0.977544089431523 |
52 | 255603 | 259984.198469902 | 264041.75 | 0.984632916839484 | 0.983148212484886 |
53 | 260376 | 262309.240007809 | 265118.583333333 | 0.989403446223187 | 0.992629920288924 |
54 | 263903 | 265108.598040351 | 266239.208333333 | 0.995753404241022 | 0.99545243704179 |
55 | 264291 | 263332.008130396 | 267442.166666667 | 0.984631598720954 | 1.00364175960383 |
56 | 263276 | 260072.13081074 | 268763.166666667 | 0.967662846201296 | 1.01231915614823 |
57 | 262572 | NA | NA | 0.96513882515469 | NA |
58 | 256167 | NA | NA | 0.950289787054787 | NA |
59 | 264221 | NA | NA | 0.96380787631048 | NA |
60 | 293860 | NA | NA | 1.03965493569005 | NA |
61 | 300713 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
62 | 287224 | NA | NA | NA | NA |