| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 149 | 152.666983850473 | 10.4079879535491 | 134.925028195977 | 3.66698385047349 |
| 2 | 139 | 141.456056165029 | 1.87369782539419 | 134.670246009576 | 2.45605616502942 |
| 3 | 135 | 136.445128871691 | -0.860592694866098 | 134.415463823175 | 1.44512887169071 |
| 4 | 130 | 128.172847633061 | -2.39899809971772 | 134.226150466657 | -1.82715236693949 |
| 5 | 127 | 125.100568093553 | -5.13740520369228 | 134.036837110139 | -1.89943190644675 |
| 6 | 122 | 119.797154735546 | -9.6655992205894 | 133.868444485043 | -2.2028452644538 |
| 7 | 117 | 112.493739678417 | -12.1937915383646 | 133.700051859947 | -4.50626032158277 |
| 8 | 112 | 108.889935926928 | -18.3969436656226 | 133.507007738695 | -3.11006407307224 |
| 9 | 113 | 109.486133482456 | -16.800097099898 | 133.313963617442 | -3.51386651754441 |
| 10 | 149 | 150.334382814752 | 14.4758323022542 | 133.189784882994 | 1.33438281475173 |
| 11 | 157 | 160.382632277750 | 20.5517615737048 | 133.065606148546 | 3.38263227774956 |
| 12 | 157 | 163.047051851607 | 18.1441468119898 | 132.808801336403 | 6.04705185160685 |
| 13 | 147 | 151.040015522190 | 10.4079879535491 | 132.551996524261 | 4.04001552218975 |
| 14 | 137 | 139.958226170666 | 1.87369782539419 | 132.168076003939 | 2.95822617066636 |
| 15 | 132 | 133.076437211248 | -0.860592694866098 | 131.784155483618 | 1.07643721124836 |
| 16 | 125 | 121.17619147034 | -2.39899809971772 | 131.222806629378 | -3.82380852965987 |
| 17 | 123 | 120.475947428555 | -5.13740520369228 | 130.661457775137 | -2.52405257144520 |
| 18 | 117 | 113.738034174900 | -9.6655992205894 | 129.927565045689 | -3.26196582509965 |
| 19 | 114 | 111.000119222124 | -12.1937915383646 | 129.193672316241 | -2.99988077787606 |
| 20 | 111 | 112.052856798165 | -18.3969436656226 | 128.344086867457 | 1.05285679816532 |
| 21 | 112 | 113.305595681224 | -16.800097099898 | 127.494501418674 | 1.30559568122401 |
| 22 | 144 | 146.950182168599 | 14.4758323022542 | 126.573985529146 | 2.95018216859950 |
| 23 | 150 | 153.794768786677 | 20.5517615737048 | 125.653469639619 | 3.79476878667666 |
| 24 | 149 | 155.313065401138 | 18.1441468119898 | 124.542787786872 | 6.31306540113827 |
| 25 | 134 | 134.159906112326 | 10.4079879535491 | 123.432105934125 | 0.159906112325501 |
| 26 | 123 | 122.135860228891 | 1.87369782539419 | 121.990441945715 | -0.864139771109308 |
| 27 | 116 | 112.311814737561 | -0.860592694866098 | 120.548777957305 | -3.68818526243872 |
| 28 | 117 | 117.534273936463 | -2.39899809971772 | 118.864724163255 | 0.534273936462782 |
| 29 | 111 | 109.956734834487 | -5.13740520369228 | 117.180670369205 | -1.04326516551279 |
| 30 | 105 | 104.146515549411 | -9.6655992205894 | 115.519083671178 | -0.853484450588894 |
| 31 | 102 | 102.336294565213 | -12.1937915383646 | 113.857496973152 | 0.336294565213038 |
| 32 | 95 | 95.9051772984638 | -18.3969436656226 | 112.491766367159 | 0.90517729846377 |
| 33 | 93 | 91.6740613387318 | -16.800097099898 | 111.126035761166 | -1.32593866126821 |
| 34 | 124 | 123.447180327118 | 14.4758323022542 | 110.076987370627 | -0.552819672881512 |
| 35 | 130 | 130.420299446207 | 20.5517615737048 | 109.027938980088 | 0.420299446206826 |
| 36 | 124 | 121.662470281892 | 18.1441468119898 | 108.193382906118 | -2.33752971810809 |
| 37 | 115 | 112.233185214303 | 10.4079879535491 | 107.358826832148 | -2.76681478569735 |
| 38 | 106 | 103.454880002503 | 1.87369782539419 | 106.671422172103 | -2.54511999749731 |
| 39 | 105 | 104.876575182808 | -0.860592694866098 | 105.984017512058 | -0.123424817191861 |
| 40 | 105 | 107.015925412413 | -2.39899809971772 | 105.383072687305 | 2.0159254124129 |
| 41 | 101 | 102.355277341141 | -5.13740520369228 | 104.782127862552 | 1.35527734114058 |
| 42 | 95 | 95.429348627287 | -9.6655992205894 | 104.236250593302 | 0.429348627287084 |
| 43 | 93 | 94.5034182143116 | -12.1937915383646 | 103.690373324053 | 1.50341821431162 |
| 44 | 84 | 82.9916256151363 | -18.3969436656226 | 103.405318050486 | -1.00837438486366 |
| 45 | 87 | 87.6798343229784 | -16.800097099898 | 103.120262776920 | 0.679834322978365 |
| 46 | 116 | 114.160554008945 | 14.4758323022542 | 103.363613688800 | -1.83944599105466 |
| 47 | 120 | 115.841273825614 | 20.5517615737048 | 103.606964600681 | -4.15872617438606 |
| 48 | 117 | 111.332163316788 | 18.1441468119898 | 104.523689871222 | -5.66783668321197 |
| 49 | 109 | 102.151596904688 | 10.4079879535491 | 105.440415141763 | -6.84840309531225 |
| 50 | 105 | 101.281690023003 | 1.87369782539419 | 106.844612151602 | -3.71830997699662 |
| 51 | 107 | 106.611783533424 | -0.860592694866098 | 108.248809161442 | -0.388216466575614 |
| 52 | 109 | 110.657618866613 | -2.39899809971772 | 109.741379233105 | 1.65761886661276 |
| 53 | 109 | 111.903455898924 | -5.13740520369228 | 111.233949304768 | 2.90345589892405 |
| 54 | 108 | 112.985201664979 | -9.6655992205894 | 112.680397555610 | 4.98520166497903 |
| 55 | 107 | 112.066945731912 | -12.1937915383646 | 114.126845806453 | 5.06694573191206 |
| 56 | 99 | 100.809162659482 | -18.3969436656226 | 115.587781006141 | 1.80916265948156 |
| 57 | 103 | 105.751380894068 | -16.800097099898 | 117.048716205830 | 2.75138089406836 |
| 58 | 131 | 129.064425849189 | 14.4758323022542 | 118.459741848557 | -1.93557415081143 |
| 59 | 137 | 133.577470935010 | 20.5517615737048 | 119.870767491285 | -3.42252906498960 |
| 60 | 135 | 130.641945298747 | 18.1441468119898 | 121.213907889264 | -4.35805470125329 |
