Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[70])
58	3862.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	3970.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	4138.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	4199.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	4290.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	4443.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	4502.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	4356.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	4591.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	4696.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	4621.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	4562.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	4202.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	4296.49	4042.4624	3835.8936	4249.0312	0.008	0.0644	0.7538	0.0644
72	4435.23	3971.3633	3608.4988	4334.2278	0.0061	0.0395	0.1833	0.1059
73	4105.18	3939.7804	3443.1396	4436.4213	0.257	0.0253	0.1525	0.1499
74	4116.68	3925.751	3313.9988	4537.5032	0.2704	0.2827	0.121	0.1876
75	3844.49	3919.519	3207.0305	4632.0075	0.4182	0.2938	0.0746	0.2181
76	3720.98	3916.7507	3114.4655	4719.0359	0.3162	0.5701	0.0762	0.2425
77	3674.4	3915.521	3031.8602	4799.1818	0.2964	0.6669	0.1637	0.2622
78	3857.62	3914.9747	2956.552	4873.3974	0.4533	0.6886	0.0833	0.2783
79	3801.06	3914.7321	2886.8584	4942.6057	0.4142	0.5434	0.0679	0.2916
80	3504.37	3914.6243	2821.6569	5007.5917	0.231	0.5807	0.1025	0.3028
81	3032.6	3914.5764	2760.1601	5068.9928	0.0671	0.7569	0.1355	0.3125
82	3047.03	3914.5551	2701.791	5127.3193	0.0805	0.923	0.3208	0.3208

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
71	0.0261	0.0628	0.0052	64530.0085	5377.5007	73.3314
72	0.0466	0.1168	0.0097	215172.2899	17931.0242	133.9068
73	0.0643	0.042	0.0035	27357.0174	2279.7514	47.7467
74	0.0795	0.0486	0.0041	36453.88	3037.8233	55.1165
75	0.0927	-0.0191	0.0016	5629.3515	469.1126	21.659
76	0.1045	-0.05	0.0042	38326.1628	3193.8469	56.5141
77	0.1151	-0.0616	0.0051	58139.3257	4844.9438	69.6056
78	0.1249	-0.0147	0.0012	3289.5648	274.1304	16.5569
79	0.134	-0.029	0.0024	12921.3414	1076.7784	32.8143
80	0.1424	-0.1048	0.0087	168308.5834	14025.7153	118.4302
81	0.1505	-0.2253	0.0188	777882.3896	64823.5325	254.6047
82	0.1581	-0.2216	0.0185	752599.8724	62716.656	250.4329