| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3435 | 0.152 | 0.0522 | 0.6598 |
| (p-val) | (0.3807 ) | (0.3701 ) | (0.6804 ) | (0.0854 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4024 | 0.1569 | 0 | 0.7266 |
| (p-val) | (0.2814 ) | (0.3652 ) | (NA ) | (0.0409 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.177 | 0 | 0 | 0.1356 |
| (p-val) | (0.7105 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7839 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.3006 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0054 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.65980853591523 |
| -20.2822720382702 |
| 88.034039230288 |
| -0.764223223323999 |
| -14.6122542879327 |
| 79.7837625214405 |
| -36.5428412517488 |
| -237.021493665485 |
| -174.939330055658 |
| -22.0023001314494 |
| -130.222163737467 |
| -81.2611387897857 |
| 134.711756085512 |
| -82.8684506462985 |
| -29.0665412790229 |
| -168.373147043892 |
| -75.7934363759475 |
| 231.573356000828 |
| 10.525770879608 |
| 34.183184435469 |
| -3.42126456039909 |
| 90.516708344142 |
| 3.54323819676438 |
| 21.2437081278254 |
| 45.949141309824 |
| 6.42691765742074 |
| 148.926383086553 |
| 42.4033763185116 |
| -53.2562855023066 |
| 76.9884041921887 |
| -87.0100149213495 |
| 70.3634918930497 |
| -24.4361954855030 |
| 54.2674833299607 |
| 131.626984339175 |
| 67.1077256807698 |
| 63.741214019863 |
| 47.1514214452441 |
| 41.2415231787345 |
| 82.4444451896229 |
| -3.01644941419272 |
| 8.96148546013183 |
| -61.5822460897925 |
| 54.6770862122339 |
| 50.5830874127159 |
| 77.2146729143574 |
| -7.52009106404239 |
| 15.8170970133174 |
| 63.2839770944779 |
| 109.442579059232 |
| 134.975352958971 |
| 97.1284770853149 |
| 65.880660807853 |
| -49.9515384177112 |
| -83.7009913991046 |
| -202.870563395183 |
| 199.880265312301 |
| 110.275737395927 |
| 64.4380741049235 |
| 140.59560404366 |
| 12.3518743229479 |
| 78.628173991554 |
| 126.224479839809 |
| 14.5267492182793 |
| -158.024402731458 |
| 281.504324956351 |
| 26.0402756337062 |
| -97.7970446146473 |
| -31.9215461279346 |
| -345.626097747941 |
| 204.622197492179 |
| 94.3526799140136 |
| -367.402642256954 |
| 119.749065876050 |
| -290.469069494619 |
| -35.936785759277 |
| -19.8467725450182 |
| 194.155786526781 |
| -115.322768225447 |
| -271.036765214098 |
| -382.496818289871 |
| 149.807768453402 |
