| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.3435 | 0.152 | 0.0522 | 0.6598 |
| (p-val) | (0.3807 ) | (0.3701 ) | (0.6804 ) | (0.0854 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4024 | 0.1569 | 0 | 0.7266 |
| (p-val) | (0.2814 ) | (0.3651 ) | (NA ) | (0.0408 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.177 | 0 | 0 | 0.1356 |
| (p-val) | (0.7105 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7839 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.3006 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0054 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.65980853591523 |
| -20.2822720419177 |
| 88.0340392131129 |
| -0.764223218423335 |
| -14.6122541780574 |
| 79.7837625204481 |
| -36.5428412418813 |
| -237.021493576675 |
| -174.939330173721 |
| -22.0023004879113 |
| -130.222163981712 |
| -81.261138877866 |
| 134.711755886442 |
| -82.8684507154044 |
| -29.0665411441489 |
| -168.373147153340 |
| -75.7934364677778 |
| 231.573355758700 |
| 10.5257708465936 |
| 34.1831847223823 |
| -3.42126452514594 |
| 90.5167083943015 |
| 3.54323822444849 |
| 21.2437082449437 |
| 45.9491413265973 |
| 6.42691770234615 |
| 148.926383148560 |
| 42.4033763780330 |
| -53.2562852977862 |
| 76.9884042382046 |
| -87.0100149566779 |
| 70.3634919614096 |
| -24.4361955701665 |
| 54.2674834085906 |
| 131.626984327138 |
| 67.1077257925444 |
| 63.7412142109793 |
| 47.1514215605353 |
| 41.2415232832441 |
| 82.4444452691432 |
| -3.01644933015541 |
| 8.96148556804428 |
| -61.5822460842246 |
| 54.6770862065341 |
| 50.5830873528589 |
| 77.214672996627 |
| -7.52009097378914 |
| 15.8170971135414 |
| 63.2839770964242 |
| 109.442579101892 |
| 134.975353075361 |
| 97.128477271874 |
| 65.8806610189854 |
| -49.9515382614236 |
| -83.700991320909 |
| -202.870563477779 |
| 199.880265140557 |
| 110.275737196339 |
| 64.4380743788802 |
| 140.595604209316 |
| 12.3518744624025 |
| 78.6281741817593 |
| 126.224479891767 |
| 14.526749364225 |
| -158.024402561056 |
| 281.5043249344 |
| 26.040275528886 |
| -97.7970442577525 |
| -31.9215461144086 |
| -345.626097871835 |
| 204.622197336348 |
| 94.3526795364023 |
| -367.402641989132 |
| 119.749065878547 |
| -290.469069910870 |
| -35.9367857193442 |
| -19.8467729295458 |
| 194.155786460361 |
| -115.322768200005 |
| -271.036765007927 |
| -382.496818512529 |
| 149.807767986098 |
