| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.018 | 0.3311 | 0.582 | 0.3896 | -0.352 | -0.4539 | 0.1388 |
| (p-val) | (0.932 ) | (0.0422 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.1276 ) | (0.6824 ) | (0.0628 ) | (0.8931 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.3409 | 0.5879 | 0.4064 | -0.3666 | -0.4593 | 0.1591 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0034 ) | (0 ) | (0.0111 ) | (0.6588 ) | (0.0479 ) | (0.8731 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3462 | 0.5889 | 0.4074 | -0.2362 | -0.4403 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.002 ) | (0 ) | (0.0112 ) | (0.2149 ) | (0.0324 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.3663 | 0.5064 | 0.4862 | 0 | -0.3324 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0024 ) | (3e-04 ) | (5e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.1268 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3314 | 0.4343 | 0.4693 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0101 ) | (0.0013 ) | (0.001 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.35531430502430 |
| -8.27824829537609 |
| 149.540958192094 |
| 357.656091329720 |
| -70.1438691246764 |
| -294.355508214039 |
| 185.934833759926 |
| -37.4426496422524 |
| 475.778021932562 |
| -126.019995722206 |
| -50.5353528229222 |
| 254.919810631308 |
| 76.2956600693727 |
| 17.3402342208028 |
| -33.6606764675061 |
| 66.54969715018 |
| 62.4011186977277 |
| 290.561654319568 |
| -369.278599572156 |
| -79.3152916002157 |
| -50.7273835817855 |
| -37.0025615954489 |
| 114.864675462522 |
| 408.601116299976 |
| 227.290451503914 |
| 147.884140883699 |
| -323.744373330072 |
| 32.300201214924 |
| -335.474185200649 |
| 226.507902273975 |
| 117.110992165333 |
| 168.330200462587 |
| 32.1487019092338 |
| -56.4275268006185 |
| -0.712849408821241 |
| -104.251326636888 |
| -629.486466528813 |
| 162.18010138729 |
| 183.486287612826 |
| 92.7105608515546 |
| 198.570754030778 |
| 11.9752819079022 |
| 185.879182636985 |
| 154.148511617242 |
| -17.1247456794647 |
| -86.8602016223809 |
| 343.160120077268 |
| 320.199034451878 |
| -84.2788770245183 |
