| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2814 | 0.2575 | 0.4054 | -0.2454 | -0.6455 | 0.7257 |
| (p-val) | (0.2907 ) | (0.0872 ) | (0.0354 ) | (0.4169 ) | (0.5969 ) | (0.5501 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2917 | 0.2553 | 0.4083 | -0.289 | 0 | -0.0239 |
| (p-val) | (0.2471 ) | (0.0838 ) | (0.0345 ) | (0.2974 ) | (NA ) | (0.927 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.292 | 0.2551 | 0.4059 | -0.2836 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2494 ) | (0.0846 ) | (0.0335 ) | (0.2985 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.0862 | 0.3273 | 0.5064 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4926 ) | (0.0057 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3595 | 0.5538 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.26744428769327 |
| -19.2434592389049 |
| 50.2050977601009 |
| 163.084233690106 |
| 246.235082744252 |
| -98.4346121033896 |
| 187.298055712106 |
| 90.5628564463122 |
| 215.668730531505 |
| -135.518844008273 |
| -160.778839882955 |
| 90.276621741411 |
| 280.052406867658 |
| -91.3544635488268 |
| -61.3792392346085 |
| -131.113925255356 |
| 45.2573820415537 |
| 141.330175611163 |
| 62.9746489369855 |
| -100.244580673001 |
| 129.554056483021 |
| -15.0421321628601 |
| -27.3043968444154 |
| 114.001982949489 |
| -124.418506998697 |
| 125.039125923928 |
| 33.0678156899357 |
| 284.662482770190 |
| -183.139189747079 |
| 316.389396824240 |
| 76.0120136199921 |
| 10.4340294914618 |
| -133.771417928051 |
| -206.961591579273 |
| 85.1524731934146 |
| -58.5983820315864 |
| -212.392024003651 |
| 153.533216168779 |
| 54.7803347306949 |
| -29.3729524029341 |
| -93.4435744989145 |
| -99.1430875835367 |
| -73.5669851636376 |
| 234.312106204276 |
| 96.5607442374666 |
| 9.83933375261723 |
| 316.822967629571 |
| 67.7443430246208 |
| -69.6289464497968 |
