Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_rwalk.wasp
Title produced by softwareLaw of Averages
Date of computationMon, 01 Dec 2008 02:37:57 -0700
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2008/Dec/01/t12281245616pne7jvpdjqvb5p.htm/, Retrieved Sun, 05 May 2024 13:51:07 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26827, Retrieved Sun, 05 May 2024 13:51:07 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywords
Estimated Impact215
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
F     [Law of Averages] [Random Walk Simul...] [2008-11-25 17:50:19] [b98453cac15ba1066b407e146608df68]
F         [Law of Averages] [] [2008-12-01 09:37:57] [d41d8cd98f00b204e9800998ecf8427e] [Current]
Feedback Forum
2008-12-04 11:46:36 [Loïque Verhasselt] [reply
Q1: Correcte berekeningswijze. Gebrek aan duidelijke interpretatie. Het tonen van de nodige output (in het word document )zou handig zijn omdat we zo ook de bekomen output kunnen becommentarieren. De bekomen output is een simulatie-experiment met een muntstuk dat 500 maal word opgegooid. Dit noemen we het random walk model (Yt – Yt-1 (=et) => Yt = Yt-1 + et). We vinden als output 2 grafieken. Grafiek 1: X-as = aantal keer gegooid,Y-as = het aantal keer meer of minder dat kop gegooid is dan let;Grafiek 2:De waarschijnlijkheid. De proportie gaat naar 50%(zoals de student vermeld). We zien een schijnbare trend. Maar deze is absoluut onvoorspelbaar omdat deze een simulatie voorstelt. We kunnen ook een schijnbare voorspelbaarheid zien maar dit is ook puur toeval. Er is dus geen sprake van seizoenaliteit(wat de student concludeert).
2008-12-08 13:12:49 [Li Tang Hu] [reply
juiste berekening, korte conclusie echter. er is een schijnbare lange termijn trend, dit is echter compleet toeval en dus kunnen we geen enkele voorspelling doen.

Post a new message




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 1 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26827&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]1 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26827&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=26827&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time1 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 500 ; par2 = 0.5 ; par3 = ; par4 = ; par5 = ; par6 = ; par7 = ; par8 = ; par9 = ; par10 = ; par11 = ; par12 = ; par13 = ; par14 = ; par15 = ; par16 = ; par17 = ; par18 = ; par19 = ; par20 = ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
n <- as.numeric(par1)
p <- as.numeric(par2)
heads=rbinom(n-1,1,p)
a=2*(heads)-1
b=diffinv(a,xi=0)
c=1:n
pheads=(diffinv(heads,xi=.5))/c
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op=par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(c,b,type='n',main='Law of Averages',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Excess of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5,cex.main=2)
lines(c,b,col='red')
lines(c,rep(0,n),col='black')
plot(c,pheads,type='n',xlab='Toss Number',ylab='Proportion of Heads',lwd=2,cex.lab=1.5)
lines(c,pheads,col='blue')
lines(c,rep(.5,n),col='black')
par(op)
dev.off()