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paper - Multiple Regression (alle)

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Sat, 13 Dec 2008 09:21:20 -0700
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2008/Dec/13/t1229187102tz9rxh5k0d3jk9c.htm/, Retrieved Sat, 13 Dec 2008 17:51:43 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2008/Dec/13/t1229187102tz9rxh5k0d3jk9c.htm/},
    year = {2008},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2008},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
1.8 0.8 2.9 1.7 -0.1 2.9 1.4 -1.5 2.9 1.2 -4.4 1.4 1 -4.2 1.1 1.7 3.5 1.9 2.4 10 2.8 2 8.6 1.4 2.1 9.5 0.7 2 9.9 -0.8 1.8 10.4 -3.1 2.7 16 0.1 2.3 12.7 1 1.9 10.2 1.9 2 8.9 -0.5 2.3 12.6 1.5 2.8 13.6 3.9 2.4 14.8 1.9 2.3 9.5 2.6 2.7 13.7 1.7 2.7 17 1.4 2.9 14.7 2.8 3 17.4 0.5 2.2 9 1 2.3 9.1 1.5 2.8 12.2 1.8 2.8 15.9 2.7 2.8 12.9 3 2.2 10.9 -0.3 2.6 10.6 1.1 2.8 13.2 1.7 2.5 9.6 1.6 2.4 6.4 3 2.3 5.8 3.3 1.9 -1 6.7 1.7 -0.2 5.6 2 2.7 6 2.1 3.6 4.8 1.7 -0.9 5.9 1.8 0.3 4.3 1.8 -1.1 3.7 1.8 -2.5 5.6 1.3 -3.4 1.7 1.3 -3.5 3.2 1.3 -3.9 3.6 1.2 -4.6 1.7 1.4 -0.1 0.5 2.2 4.3 2.1 2.9 10.2 1.5 3.1 8.7 2.7 3.5 13.3 1.4 3.6 15 1.2 4.4 20.7 2.3 4.1 20.7 1.6 5.1 26.4 4.7 5.8 31.2 3.5 5.9 31.4 4.4 5.4 26.6 3.9 5.5 26.6 3.5 4.8 19.2 3
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time6 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
totale_inflatie[t] = + 0.793045803171116 + 0.110299880437482inflatie_energiedragers[t] + 0.099961772311484inflatie_onbewerkte_levensmiddelen[t] + 0.0169049684459392t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)0.7930458031711160.0809929.791700
inflatie_energiedragers0.1102998804374820.00434825.365800
inflatie_onbewerkte_levensmiddelen0.0999617723114840.0227844.38745.1e-052.6e-05
t0.01690496844593920.0024376.937100


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.973276206517053
R-squared0.947266574172225
Adjusted R-squared0.944441569217166
F-TEST (value)335.315013333248
F-TEST (DF numerator)3
F-TEST (DF denominator)56
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.276856081743618
Sum Squared Residuals4.292360239912


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
11.81.188079815670350.611920184329654
21.71.105714891722550.59428510827745
31.40.9682000275560140.431799972443986
41.20.5152926842660280.684707315733972
510.5242690971060180.475730902893982
61.71.470452562769760.229547437230241
72.42.294272349139670.105727650860330
822.01681100373706-0.0168110037370560
92.12.063012623958690.0369873760413094
1021.974094886112400.0259051138876031
111.81.81623771846066-0.0162377184606642
122.72.77069968875325-0.0706996887532535
132.32.51358064683584-0.213580646835837
141.92.34470150926840-0.444701509268405
1521.978308379598060.0216916204019441
162.32.60324645028565-0.303246450285648
172.82.97035955271663-0.170359552716631
182.42.91970083306458-0.519700833064582
192.32.42198967580990-0.121989675809903
202.72.81218854701293-0.112188547012932
212.73.16309458920912-0.463094589209118
222.93.06625631388493-0.166256313884926
2333.15105888319565-0.151058883195654
242.22.29142574212248-0.0914257421224831
252.32.36934158476791-0.0693415847679128
262.82.758164714263490.0418352857365073
272.83.27314483540845-0.473144835408453
282.82.98913869423539-0.18913869423539
292.22.45557005317847-0.255570053178467
302.62.579331538729240.0206684612707611
312.82.94299325969952-0.142993259699523
322.52.55282248133938-0.052822481339377
332.42.356714313621450.0432856863785497
342.32.33742788549835-0.0374278854983453
351.91.94416369282845-0.0441636928284495
361.71.93935061608174-0.239350616081742
3722.31610994672097-0.316109946720974
382.12.31233068078687-0.212330680786867
391.71.94284413680677-0.242844136806768
401.81.93217012607931-0.132170126079311
411.81.734678198525880.0653218014741153
421.81.787090701751170.0129092982488319
431.31.31487486578859-0.0148748657885858
441.31.47069250465800-0.170692504658003
451.31.48346222985354-0.183462229853543
461.21.23322991460142-0.0332299146014250
471.41.62653021824225-0.226530218242254
482.22.28869349631149-0.08869349631149
492.92.896390695951680.00360930404831486
503.12.867799970515180.232200029484819
513.53.262134084968610.237865915031389
523.63.446556495695970.153443504304027
534.44.202128732178190.197871267821806
544.14.14906046000609-0.0490604600060954
555.15.10455624111128-0.00455624111128468
565.85.530946508883360.269053491116641
575.95.659877048497130.240122951502871
585.45.097361704687410.302638295312589
595.55.074281964208760.425718035791243
604.84.224986931261580.575013068738415


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
70.1586511673817720.3173023347635430.841348832618228
80.1262997310879890.2525994621759780.873700268912011
90.06988102779281770.1397620555856350.930118972207182
100.03500584965125370.07001169930250750.964994150348746
110.01992972895718940.03985945791437880.98007027104281
120.05728197671581210.1145639534316240.942718023284188
130.030111816881910.060223633763820.96988818311809
140.03178858070088890.06357716140177770.968211419299111
150.1803587787754920.3607175575509830.819641221224508
160.1357772467345150.2715544934690290.864222753265485
170.2476701564840440.4953403129680880.752329843515956
180.2591806987099170.5183613974198350.740819301290083
190.2931109180175020.5862218360350050.706889081982498
200.4197584073256580.8395168146513160.580241592674342
210.4164426779722490.8328853559444970.583557322027751
220.4693749595073360.9387499190146730.530625040492664
230.5878450675563230.8243098648873540.412154932443677
240.5259535448493340.9480929103013320.474046455150666
250.4789387529299720.9578775058599440.521061247070028
260.620070938478480.7598581230430410.379929061521521
270.6953205920826740.6093588158346520.304679407917326
280.6323068748090460.7353862503819090.367693125190954
290.6043522620445530.7912954759108940.395647737955447
300.6104225535235370.7791548929529250.389577446476463
310.5557958769538990.8884082460922020.444204123046101
320.4845109049431660.9690218098863330.515489095056833
330.5115912947004080.9768174105991840.488408705299592
340.5925928921959490.8148142156081030.407407107804051
350.7197898032270470.5604203935459070.280210196772953
360.7699630869446750.4600738261106500.230036913055325
370.754985512607160.4900289747856790.245014487392840
380.6927965279474590.6144069441050830.307203472052541
390.6679512159458540.6640975681082920.332048784054146
400.5920150462424730.8159699075150540.407984953757527
410.6793194604876740.6413610790246530.320680539512327
420.7220711360550380.5558577278899230.277928863944962
430.7868153893818680.4263692212362640.213184610618132
440.7390990451279080.5218019097441840.260900954872092
450.6760826399454460.6478347201091090.323917360054554
460.5841899249643240.8316201500713520.415810075035676
470.678757642670220.6424847146595610.321242357329780
480.701385989438380.5972280211232410.298614010561621
490.7081553816604790.5836892366790430.291844618339521
500.7515084814266490.4969830371467020.248491518573351
510.8316629000628880.3366741998742230.168337099937112
520.8003814698572270.3992370602855460.199618530142773
530.9727372345006020.05452553099879640.0272627654993982


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level10.0212765957446809OK
10% type I error level50.106382978723404NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
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Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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