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Paper - werkloosheid Brussel - MPR (2)

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Fri, 12 Dec 2008 02:35:33 -0700
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x.htm/, Retrieved Fri, 12 Dec 2008 09:37:48 +0000
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x.htm/},
    year = {2008},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2008},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
 
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Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
51.220 50.487 49.415 49.398 48.196 47.348 49.331 49.644 49.588 49.567 49.010 49.563 49.741 49.487 48.278 47.478 46.985 45.216 46.581 49.266 48.121 46.412 46.285 46.824 46.949 45.355 44.924 45.059 44.202 44.149 46.151 47.703 48.436 47.089 47.492 49.295 49.127 50.041 48.857 48.428 48.788 48.820 50.743 52.590 51.959 53.451 55.674 56.120 55.685 56.714 54.882 55.173 53.574 53.954 58.055 61.062 58.353 59.693 58.833 60.417 61.696 62.515 62.687 61.794 63.014 63.134 68.057 67.327 68.310 69.780 69.944 69.881 71.397 70.631 70.452 69.862 69.114 69.358 71.133 73.128 73.528 73.677 72.273 71.962 73.654 73.305 73.355 73.346 72.881 72.424 74.540 74.847 75.904 76.870 76.370 77.631 78.335 77.926 77.236 76.755 74.710 73.486 76.034 76.389 77.767 78.124 76.696 77.375 77.431 77.347 77.013 76.666 75.225 75.579 77.100 78.592 79.502 78.528 77.775 77.271 78.738 77.885 76.896 75.813 74.958 75.340 77.187 78.602 81.653 78.125 76.092 74.870 75.615 74.776 72.528 71.894 71.641 71.145 73.320 72.186 72.854 74.243 74.628 72.368 75.361 72.746 70.536 69.410 66.219 66.739 67.626 70.602 71.758 71.786 69.641 68.055 70.148 69.390 68.562 68.622 68.120 68.308 70.421 69.766 72.157 72.928 75.340 74.812 74.593 76.003 75.112 75.452 75.634 75.653 78.645 73.100 79.699 82.848 81.834 81.736 82.267 84.120 83.819 82.734 81.842 81.735 83.227 81.934 89.521 88.827 85.874 85.211 87.130 88.620 89.563 89.056 88.542 89.504 89.428 86.040 96.240 94.423 93.028 92.285 91.685 94.260 93.858 92.437 92.980 92.099 92.803 88.551 98.334 98.329 96.455 97.109 97.687 98.512 98.673 96.028 98.014 95.580 97.838 97.760 99.913 97.588 93.942 93.656 93.365 92.881 93.120 91.063 90.930 91.946 94.624 95.484 95.862 95.530 94.574 94.677 93.845 91.533 91.214 90.922 89.563 89.945 91.850 92.505 92.437 93.876
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time9 seconds
R Server'George Udny Yule' @ 72.249.76.132


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Werkloosheid[t] = + 48.425738372093 + 0.568423874123306M1[t] + 0.314930527870066M2[t] -0.529943770764118M3[t] -1.37653235511260M4[t] -2.15969236803248M5[t] -2.53389999999999M6[t] -0.674679060538942M7[t] -0.760600978220746M8[t] + 1.17414377076412M9[t] + 0.965078995939458M10[t] + 0.231545727205609M11[t] + 0.199445727205611t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)48.4257383720931.48656632.575600
M10.5684238741233061.8623720.30520.760470.380235
M20.3149305278700661.8623060.16910.8658560.432928
M3-0.5299437707641181.862255-0.28460.7762210.388111
M4-1.376532355112601.862218-0.73920.4605230.230262
M5-2.159692368032481.862196-1.15980.2473150.123658
M6-2.533899999999991.862189-1.36070.1748980.087449
M7-0.6746790605389421.862196-0.36230.7174490.358724
M8-0.7606009782207461.862218-0.40840.6833210.34166
M91.174143770764121.8622550.63050.5289780.264489
M100.9650789959394581.8623060.51820.604790.302395
M110.2315457272056091.8847690.12290.9023290.451165
t0.1994457272056110.00522738.158700


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.927906471271435
R-squared0.861010419427406
Adjusted R-squared0.853972972309807
F-TEST (value)122.346982512187
F-TEST (DF numerator)12
F-TEST (DF denominator)237
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation5.96014019568952
Sum Squared Residuals8419.01526308893


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
151.2249.19360797342172.02639202657826
250.48749.13956035437441.34743964562565
349.41548.49413178294580.920868217054252
449.39847.84698892580291.55101107419711
548.19647.26327464008860.932725359911435
647.34847.08851273532670.259487264673294
749.33149.14717940199340.183820598006611
849.64449.26070321151720.383296788482810
949.58851.3948936877077-1.80689368770765
1049.56751.3852746400886-1.8182746400886
1149.0150.8511870985603-1.84118709856035
1249.56350.8190870985603-1.25608709856035
1349.74151.5869566998894-1.8459566998894
1449.48751.5329090808416-2.04590908084163
1548.27850.8874805094131-2.60948050941307
1647.47850.2403376522702-2.76233765227021
1746.98549.6566233665559-2.67162336655592
1845.21649.481861461794-4.26586146179402
1946.58151.5405281284607-4.95952812846068
2049.26651.6540519379845-2.38805193798450
2148.12153.788242414175-5.66724241417497
2246.41253.7786233665559-7.36662336655592
2346.28553.2445358250277-6.95953582502769
2446.82453.2124358250277-6.38843582502768
2546.94953.9803054263566-7.0313054263566
2645.35553.926257807309-8.57125780730897
2744.92453.2808292358804-8.3568292358804
2845.05952.6336863787375-7.57468637873754
2944.20252.0499720930232-7.84797209302325
3044.14951.8752101882614-7.72621018826135
3146.15153.933876854928-7.78287685492801
3247.70354.0474006644518-6.34440066445182
3348.43656.1815911406423-7.7455911406423
3447.08956.1719720930233-9.08297209302326
3547.49255.637884551495-8.14588455149502
3649.29555.605784551495-6.31078455149502
3749.12756.3736541528239-7.24665415282392
3850.04156.3196065337763-6.2786065337763
3948.85755.6741779623477-6.81717796234773
4048.42855.0270351052049-6.59903510520487
4148.78854.4433208194906-5.65532081949059
4248.8254.2685589147287-5.44855891472868
4350.74356.3272255813953-5.58422558139534
4452.5956.4407493909192-3.85074939091916
4551.95958.5749398671096-6.61593986710963
4653.45158.5653208194906-5.11432081949059
4755.67458.0312332779624-2.35723327796235
4856.1257.9991332779624-1.87913327796235
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5056.71458.7129552602436-1.99895526024363
5154.88258.0675266888151-3.18552668881507
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5353.57456.8366695459579-3.26266954595792
5453.95456.661907641196-2.70790764119602
5558.05558.7205743078627-0.665574307862675
5661.06258.83409811738652.22790188261351
5758.35360.968288593577-2.61528859357696
5859.69360.9586695459579-1.26566954595792
5958.83360.4245820044297-1.59158200442968
6060.41760.39248200442970.0245179955703218
6161.69661.16035160575860.535648394241419
6262.51561.1063039867111.40869601328904
6362.68760.46087541528242.22612458471761
6461.79459.81373255813951.98026744186046
6563.01459.23001827242533.78398172757475
6663.13459.05525636766334.07874363233666
6768.05761.113923034336.94307696567
6867.32761.22744684385386.09955315614618
6968.3163.36163732004434.94836267995571
7069.7863.35201827242526.42798172757475
7169.94462.8179307308977.12606926910299
7269.88162.7858307308977.09516926910299
7371.39763.55370033222597.8432996677741
7470.63163.49965271317837.13134728682171
7570.45262.85422414174977.59777585825028
7669.86262.20708128460697.65491871539313
7769.11461.62336699889267.49063300110742
7869.35861.44860509413077.90939490586934
7971.13363.50727176079737.62572823920266
8073.12863.62079557032119.50720442967885
8173.52865.75498604651167.77301395348838
8273.67765.74536699889267.93163300110743
8372.27365.21127945736437.06172054263565
8471.96265.17917945736436.78282054263566
8573.65465.94704905869327.70695094130675
8673.30565.89300143964567.41199856035438
8773.35565.2475728682178.10742713178296
8873.34664.60043001107428.74556998892580
8972.88164.01671572535998.86428427464008
9072.42463.8419538205988.582046179402
9174.5465.90062048726478.63937951273533
9274.84766.01414429678858.83285570321151
9375.90468.1483347729797.75566522702104
9476.8768.13871572535998.73128427464009
9576.3767.60462818383178.76537181616833
9677.63167.572528183831710.0584718161683
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9877.92668.2863501661139.63964983388705
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10174.7166.41006445182738.29993554817275
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10476.38968.40749302325587.98150697674418
10577.76770.54168349944637.2253165005537
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10977.43170.73374651162796.69725348837209
11077.34770.67969889258036.66730110741971
11177.01370.03427032115176.97872967884829
11276.66669.38712746400897.27887253599114
11375.22568.80341317829466.42158682170542
11475.57968.62865127353276.95034872646733
11577.170.68731794019936.41268205980066
11678.59270.80084174972317.79115825027685
11779.50272.93503222591366.56696777408637
11878.52872.92541317829465.60258682170543
11977.77572.39132563676635.38367436323367
12077.27172.35922563676634.91177436323366
12178.73873.12709523809525.61090476190476
12277.88573.07304761904764.81195238095239
12376.89672.4276190476194.46838095238096
12475.81371.78047619047624.03252380952381
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12675.3471.0224.31800000000001
12777.18773.08066666666674.10633333333333
12878.60273.19419047619055.40780952380953
12981.65375.3283809523816.32461904761905
13078.12575.31876190476192.80623809523809
13176.09274.78467436323371.30732563676633
13274.8774.75257436323370.117425636766336
13375.61575.52044396456260.094556035437425
13474.77675.466396345515-0.690396345514953
13572.52874.8209677740864-2.29296777408637
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13771.64173.5901106312292-1.94911063122923
13871.14573.4153487264673-2.27034872646733
13973.3275.474015393134-2.15401539313400
14072.18675.5875392026578-3.4015392026578
14172.85477.7217296788483-4.86772967884829
14274.24377.7121106312292-3.46911063122924
14374.62877.178023089701-2.550023089701
14472.36877.145923089701-4.777923089701
14575.36177.9137926910299-2.55279269102990
14672.74677.8597450719823-5.11374507198228
14770.53677.2143165005537-6.6783165005537
14869.4176.5671736434109-7.15717364341085
14966.21975.9834593576966-9.76445935769658
15066.73975.8086974529347-9.06969745293466
15167.62677.8673641196013-10.2413641196013
15270.60277.9808879291251-7.37888792912513
15371.75880.1150784053156-8.35707840531562
15471.78680.1054593576966-8.31945935769657
15569.64179.5713718161683-9.93037181616832
15668.05579.5392718161683-11.4842718161683
15770.14880.3071414174972-10.1591414174972
15869.3980.2530937984496-10.8630937984496
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16168.1278.376808084164-10.2568080841639
16268.30878.202046179402-9.89404617940199
16370.42180.2607128460687-9.83971284606865
16469.76680.3742366555925-10.6082366555925
16572.15782.508427131783-10.3514271317829
16672.92882.498808084164-9.5708080841639
16775.3481.9647205426357-6.62472054263565
16874.81281.9326205426357-7.12062054263566
16974.59382.7004901439646-8.10749014396456
17076.00382.646442524917-6.64344252491694
17175.11282.0010139534884-6.88901395348837
17275.45281.3538710963455-5.90187109634551
17375.63480.7701568106312-5.13615681063123
17475.65380.5953949058693-4.94239490586931
17578.64582.654061572536-4.00906157253599
17673.182.7675853820598-9.6675853820598
17779.69984.9017758582503-5.20277585825028
17882.84884.8921568106312-2.04415681063123
17981.83484.358069269103-2.52406926910298
18081.73684.325969269103-2.58996926910299
18182.26785.0938388704319-2.8268388704319
18284.1285.0397912513843-0.919791251384267
18383.81984.3943626799557-0.575362679955692
18482.73483.7472198228128-1.01321982281285
18581.84283.1635055370986-1.32150553709856
18681.73582.9887436323367-1.25374363233665
18783.22785.0474102990033-1.82041029900332
18881.93485.1609341085271-3.22693410852713
18989.52187.29512458471762.22587541528239
19088.82787.28550553709861.54149446290144
19185.87486.7514179955703-0.87741799557032
19285.21186.7193179955703-1.50831799557032
19387.1387.4871875968992-0.357187596899228
19488.6287.43313997785161.18686002214840
19589.56386.7877114064232.77528859357697
19689.05686.14056854928022.91543145071982
19788.54285.5568542635662.98514573643411
19889.50485.3820923588044.12190764119601
19989.42887.44075902547071.98724097452934
20086.0487.5542828349945-1.51428283499445
20196.2489.6884733111856.55152668881506
20294.42389.67885426356594.74414573643411
20393.02889.14476672203763.88323327796236
20492.28589.11266672203773.17233327796234
20591.68589.88053632336661.80446367663345
20694.2689.8264887043194.43351129568107
20793.85889.18106013289044.67693986710963
20892.43788.53391727574753.90308272425249
20992.9887.95020299003325.02979700996678
21092.09987.77544108527134.32355891472869
21192.80389.8341077519382.96889224806201
21288.55189.9476315614618-1.39663156146179
21398.33492.08182203765236.25217796234773
21498.32992.07220299003326.25679700996677
21596.45591.5381154485054.91688455149502
21697.10991.5060154485055.60298455149501
21797.68792.27388504983395.41311495016610
21898.51292.21983743078636.29216256921373
21998.67391.57440885935777.0985911406423
22096.02890.92726600221485.10073399778517
22198.01490.34355171650067.67044828349944
22295.5890.16878981173865.41121018826135
22397.83892.22745647840535.61054352159468
22497.7692.34098028792915.41901971207088
22599.91394.47517076411965.43782923588040
22697.58894.46555171650063.12244828349944
22793.94293.93146417497230.0105358250276773
22893.65693.8993641749723-0.243364174972309
22993.36594.6672337763012-1.30223377630123
23092.88194.6131861572536-1.7321861572536
23193.1293.967757585825-0.847757585825028
23291.06393.3206147286822-2.25761472868217
23390.9392.7369004429679-1.80690044296788
23491.94692.562138538206-0.616138538205987
23594.62494.62080520487260.00319479512734987
23695.48494.73432901439650.749670985603538
23795.86296.868519490587-1.00651949058694
23895.5396.8589004429679-1.32890044296788
23994.57496.3248129014396-1.75081290143965
24094.67796.2927129014396-1.61571290143964
24193.84597.0605825027686-3.21558250276856
24291.53397.006534883721-5.47353488372093
24391.21496.3611063122924-5.14710631229237
24490.92295.7139634551495-4.79196345514951
24589.56395.1302491694352-5.56724916943522
24689.94594.9554872646733-5.01048726467333
24791.8597.01415393134-5.16415393133999
24892.50597.1276777408638-4.62267774086379
24992.43799.2618682170543-6.82486821705427
25093.87699.2522491694352-5.37624916943521


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
160.0001447970171741330.0002895940343482650.999855202982826
176.08254682860727e-061.21650936572145e-050.999993917453171
181.16873062069684e-062.33746124139369e-060.99999883126938
196.76457352386192e-071.35291470477238e-060.999999323542648
202.23383357437078e-074.46766714874155e-070.999999776616643
211.74669323328613e-083.49338646657225e-080.999999982533068
221.20045441314760e-082.40090882629520e-080.999999987995456
232.31961515821317e-094.63923031642634e-090.999999997680385
244.05983650034609e-108.11967300069217e-100.999999999594016
256.12175647264741e-111.22435129452948e-100.999999999938782
264.61972429464696e-119.23944858929391e-110.999999999953803
277.32718715590978e-121.46543743118196e-110.999999999992673
288.28677350143105e-131.65735470028621e-120.999999999999171
299.24392436530327e-141.84878487306065e-130.999999999999908
302.88861208043080e-145.77722416086159e-140.999999999999971
311.28176284862565e-142.56352569725129e-140.999999999999987
324.65960255068361e-159.31920510136722e-150.999999999999995
331.90983642060422e-143.81967284120844e-140.99999999999998
341.41376894484556e-142.82753788969112e-140.999999999999986
352.47817516908632e-144.95635033817264e-140.999999999999975
361.99313724042304e-133.98627448084607e-130.9999999999998
373.24412091357235e-136.48824182714469e-130.999999999999676
383.30785357759214e-126.61570715518428e-120.999999999996692
397.65352052839338e-121.53070410567868e-110.999999999992346
409.06024223469985e-121.81204844693997e-110.99999999999094
412.38920090911622e-114.77840181823244e-110.999999999976108
429.3149350100279e-111.86298700200558e-100.99999999990685
432.40711916283447e-104.81423832566895e-100.999999999759288
445.12911795869244e-101.02582359173849e-090.999999999487088
456.90198317263373e-101.38039663452675e-090.999999999309802
464.19512255298033e-098.39024510596066e-090.999999995804878
477.2664130261574e-081.45328260523148e-070.99999992733587
483.36461220887083e-076.72922441774165e-070.99999966353878
495.77937842618721e-071.15587568523744e-060.999999422062157
501.43557948456632e-062.87115896913264e-060.999998564420515
512.01575398697870e-064.03150797395741e-060.999997984246013
522.89791280117949e-065.79582560235898e-060.9999971020872
532.84024944092754e-065.68049888185508e-060.999997159750559
543.43852900442755e-066.8770580088551e-060.999996561470996
557.55728776010646e-061.51145755202129e-050.99999244271224
562.07767767274927e-054.15535534549854e-050.999979223223272
572.53095988212846e-055.06191976425691e-050.999974690401179
584.32400436242988e-058.64800872485977e-050.999956759956376
594.78539104834393e-059.57078209668786e-050.999952146089517
605.58893993038668e-050.0001117787986077340.999944110600696
616.47747662774956e-050.0001295495325549910.999935225233723
628.40619707800325e-050.0001681239415600650.99991593802922
630.0001338268540079290.0002676537080158570.999866173145992
640.0001602390873839370.0003204781747678730.999839760912616
650.0002681284868044060.0005362569736088130.999731871513196
660.000445355702229370.000890711404458740.99955464429777
670.001199586867812670.002399173735625350.998800413132187
680.001505798945832760.003011597891665510.998494201054167
690.002393426859729170.004786853719458340.99760657314027
700.004459839281696380.008919678563392760.995540160718304
710.007154356419676430.01430871283935290.992845643580324
720.00895745254323650.0179149050864730.991042547456763
730.01065916794620650.02131833589241300.989340832053794
740.01099421895714530.02198843791429060.989005781042855
750.01187097160877860.02374194321755720.988129028391221
760.01205661821105580.02411323642211170.987943381788944
770.01160393912906040.02320787825812080.98839606087094
780.01156823947964140.02313647895928290.988431760520359
790.01050128521420140.02100257042840290.989498714785799
800.01027920935831310.02055841871662620.989720790641687
810.01008520854790960.02017041709581920.98991479145209
820.009708446949660180.01941689389932040.99029155305034
830.00822646257124160.01645292514248320.991773537428758
840.006565943446677340.01313188689335470.993434056553323
850.005271870476067870.01054374095213570.994728129523932
860.004141461722047210.008282923444094420.995858538277953
870.003389711116308990.006779422232617980.99661028888369
880.00286306767489730.00572613534979460.997136932325103
890.002423670097327180.004847340194654360.997576329902673
900.002006997278681760.004013994557363530.997993002721318
910.001644785733005060.003289571466010130.998355214266995
920.001354806870247790.002709613740495570.998645193129752
930.001068579423988370.002137158847976740.998931420576012
940.000903263884697860.001806527769395720.999096736115302
950.0007601837507868710.001520367501573740.999239816249213
960.0007190433142918030.001438086628583610.999280956685708
970.0006543090691407290.001308618138281460.99934569093086
980.0005836071309955850.001167214261991170.999416392869004
990.0005243400610975580.001048680122195120.999475659938902
1000.0004875020052674270.0009750040105348540.999512497994733
1010.0004181926461974850.000836385292394970.999581807353803
1020.0003467223794983290.0006934447589966580.999653277620502
1030.0003021881436674050.000604376287334810.999697811856333
1040.0002970682058596610.0005941364117193220.99970293179414
1050.0002446263336153160.0004892526672306310.999755373666385
1060.0002099072719943810.0004198145439887620.999790092728006
1070.0001829905971590630.0003659811943181270.999817009402841
1080.0001757232787131710.0003514465574263420.999824276721287
1090.0001798228391768270.0003596456783536550.999820177160823
1100.0001832256607087080.0003664513214174150.999816774339291
1110.0001878390899949790.0003756781799899590.999812160910005
1120.0002056798691403970.0004113597382807940.99979432013086
1130.0002240165071096420.0004480330142192850.99977598349289
1140.0002432782637838370.0004865565275676750.999756721736216
1150.0002836961183322340.0005673922366644670.999716303881668
1160.0004228199110326410.0008456398220652820.999577180088967
1170.0004581208882714930.0009162417765429860.999541879111729
1180.0005122380409546280.001024476081909260.999487761959045
1190.0006026316698957860.001205263339791570.999397368330104
1200.0008094942397738520.001618988479547700.999190505760226
1210.001172230894122340.002344461788244680.998827769105878
1220.001672533590825350.003345067181650690.998327466409175
1230.002376188416054540.004752376832109080.997623811583946
1240.003583499615753780.007166999231507550.996416500384246
1250.005226570117874090.01045314023574820.994773429882126
1260.007435345046784960.01487069009356990.992564654953215
1270.01125233643261820.02250467286523640.988747663567382
1280.02197465856076650.04394931712153310.978025341439233
1290.03379597057926630.06759194115853260.966204029420734
1300.04575086046592510.09150172093185030.954249139534075
1310.06220686289180740.1244137257836150.937793137108193
1320.09107493122363560.1821498624472710.908925068776364
1330.1324005543294270.2648011086588530.867599445670573
1340.1812829126744360.3625658253488730.818717087325564
1350.2439627893463510.4879255786927020.756037210653649
1360.3146344696146670.6292689392293340.685365530385333
1370.3788518262129280.7577036524258560.621148173787072
1380.4404896894475360.8809793788950710.559510310552464
1390.505414813116750.98917037376650.49458518688325
1400.6020633422999540.7958733154000910.397936657700046
1410.6584940086908270.6830119826183470.341505991309173
1420.6920874306893770.6158251386212460.307912569310623
1430.7166945387118840.5666109225762310.283305461288116
1440.7551281734590730.4897436530818550.244871826540927
1450.7826719293519410.4346561412961180.217328070648059
1460.8111403052009970.3777193895980050.188859694799003
1470.8419570377231120.3160859245537760.158042962276888
1480.8701273319866870.2597453360266260.129872668013313
1490.9097896787831120.1804206424337760.090210321216888
1500.9321017768661220.1357964462677570.0678982231338785
1510.9537375357525020.09252492849499540.0462624642474977
1520.961174399010990.07765120197801810.0388256009890090
1530.9666598376219720.06668032475605570.0333401623780279
1540.9707870572942540.05842588541149280.0292129427057464
1550.9783196261155930.04336074776881450.0216803738844072
1560.9867401874959620.02651962500807620.0132598125040381
1570.990167561117440.01966487776511970.00983243888255985
1580.993536392925640.01292721414872030.00646360707436015
1590.9960654920437220.007869015912555750.00393450795627788
1600.9972880669624620.00542386607507540.0027119330375377
1610.9982157832240780.003568433551844850.00178421677592242
1620.9987903106695730.002419378660853840.00120968933042692
1630.999171366762690.001657266474620030.000828633237310013
1640.9994249594685640.001150081062872770.000575040531436386
1650.9997177609000230.0005644781999549410.000282239099977471
1660.9998500044508570.0002999910982852050.000149995549142603
1670.9998617423202950.0002765153594093470.000138257679704673
1680.9998841208988190.0002317582023630540.000115879101181527
1690.999916623474310.0001667530513788598.33765256894294e-05
1700.9999312897952680.0001374204094641626.87102047320811e-05
1710.99995475367979.04926405987435e-054.52463202993718e-05
1720.9999616094776247.67810447521787e-053.83905223760893e-05
1730.9999670603119526.58793760951498e-053.29396880475749e-05
1740.9999723229642175.53540715665964e-052.76770357832982e-05
1750.9999713044810965.73910378088878e-052.86955189044439e-05
1760.9999915969460861.68061078283379e-058.40305391416894e-06
1770.9999963334374477.33312510608517e-063.66656255304259e-06
1780.9999963415954347.31680913189805e-063.65840456594902e-06
1790.999996429365287.1412694383795e-063.57063471918975e-06
1800.9999966412005436.71759891433285e-063.35879945716643e-06
1810.9999967836600636.43267987441769e-063.21633993720884e-06
1820.9999961232018467.75359630769475e-063.87679815384738e-06
1830.9999958520651338.29586973457165e-064.14793486728583e-06
1840.9999955136326378.97273472554589e-064.48636736277294e-06
1850.9999963617138777.27657224529743e-063.63828612264872e-06
1860.9999972913594945.41728101268793e-062.70864050634397e-06
1870.9999982404620963.51907580882338e-061.75953790441169e-06
1880.9999990744814251.85103714956888e-069.2551857478444e-07
1890.9999989913508822.01729823541480e-061.00864911770740e-06
1900.9999989839659272.03206814517489e-061.01603407258745e-06
1910.9999994471995131.10560097395871e-065.52800486979353e-07
1920.9999998158949243.68210152684674e-071.84105076342337e-07
1930.9999998808859592.38228081917909e-071.19114040958955e-07
1940.9999998929997712.1400045733368e-071.0700022866684e-07
1950.9999998821753442.35649312209088e-071.17824656104544e-07
1960.9999998365588583.26882283468851e-071.63441141734425e-07
1970.9999998272288333.45542333735279e-071.72771166867639e-07
1980.9999997542887134.91422574144486e-072.45711287072243e-07
1990.999999818017673.63964658471047e-071.81982329235524e-07
2000.9999999799992934.00014141644473e-082.00007070822237e-08
2010.9999999635923927.28152166409564e-083.64076083204782e-08
2020.999999954419739.11605403006793e-084.55802701503396e-08
2030.999999938274031.23451940629548e-076.17259703147739e-08
2040.9999999438599821.12280036702505e-075.61400183512523e-08
2050.9999999641559067.16881871246911e-083.58440935623456e-08
2060.9999999332865181.33426964389076e-076.67134821945382e-08
2070.999999894105762.11788478716174e-071.05894239358087e-07
2080.9999998267809343.46438132244349e-071.73219066122174e-07
2090.999999707712755.84574497440654e-072.92287248720327e-07
2100.9999996059223067.88155387042195e-073.94077693521098e-07
2110.9999997888935874.22212826485131e-072.11106413242565e-07
2120.9999999999849633.00743388769278e-111.50371694384639e-11
2130.9999999999799284.01433519881858e-112.00716759940929e-11
2140.9999999999714175.71656762542014e-112.85828381271007e-11
2150.9999999999282641.43471084295844e-107.17355421479222e-11
2160.9999999997581274.83746122624029e-102.41873061312014e-10
2170.9999999989869282.02614389629136e-091.01307194814568e-09
2180.999999997847094.30581927364998e-092.15290963682499e-09
2190.9999999966016666.79666784123918e-093.39833392061959e-09
2200.9999999883848182.32303639944522e-081.16151819972261e-08
2210.9999999979711184.05776438970551e-092.02888219485276e-09
2220.999999993371981.32560400067936e-086.62802000339682e-09
2230.9999999805056233.89887545518536e-081.94943772759268e-08
2240.999999917374121.65251760739019e-078.26258803695093e-08
2250.9999999715795375.68409250898239e-082.84204625449119e-08
2260.9999998584114542.83177092048119e-071.41588546024059e-07
2270.9999996499240187.00151964441769e-073.50075982220884e-07
2280.9999996420371957.15925610367283e-073.57962805183642e-07
2290.9999996525620626.9487587535896e-073.4743793767948e-07
2300.999997428781355.14243729868059e-062.57121864934030e-06
2310.9999780551480424.38897039151055e-052.19448519575527e-05
2320.9999773526550184.52946899630782e-052.26473449815391e-05
2330.999897491350340.0002050172993216360.000102508649660818
2340.9990578286286170.001884342742766460.000942171371383229


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level1700.776255707762557NOK
5% type I error level1930.881278538812785NOK
10% type I error level1990.908675799086758NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/106lta1229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/106lta1229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/1vu001229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/1vu001229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/2uj271229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/2uj271229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/3st411229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/3st411229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/40pmo1229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/40pmo1229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/5nwsw1229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/5nwsw1229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/6ogm41229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/6ogm41229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/71i4u1229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/71i4u1229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/8e0071229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/8e0071229074522.ps (open in new window)


http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/9prk41229074522.png (open in new window)
http://127.0.0.1/wessadotnet/public_html/freestatisticsdotorg/blog/date/2008/Dec/12/t1229074658mup7j8gq4ncsg5x/9prk41229074522.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Include Monthly Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Include Monthly Dummies ; par3 = Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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