Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 101.94 | NA | NA | 0.203919 | NA |
2 | 102.62 | NA | NA | 0.345764 | NA |
3 | 102.71 | NA | NA | 0.25874 | NA |
4 | 103.39 | NA | NA | 0.675645 | NA |
5 | 104.51 | NA | NA | 0.649573 | NA |
6 | 104.09 | NA | NA | 0.23755 | NA |
7 | 104.29 | 104.269 | 104.376 | -0.107212 | 0.0209623 |
8 | 104.57 | 104.114 | 104.732 | -0.617331 | 0.455665 |
9 | 105.39 | 104.462 | 105.057 | -0.594831 | 0.927748 |
10 | 105.15 | 104.993 | 105.41 | -0.416974 | 0.157391 |
11 | 106.13 | 105.554 | 105.713 | -0.159058 | 0.575724 |
12 | 105.46 | 105.482 | 105.958 | -0.475784 | -0.0221329 |
13 | 106.47 | 106.441 | 106.237 | 0.203919 | 0.028998 |
14 | 106.62 | 106.84 | 106.494 | 0.345764 | -0.219514 |
15 | 106.52 | 106.969 | 106.71 | 0.25874 | -0.44874 |
16 | 108.04 | 107.654 | 106.978 | 0.675645 | 0.386438 |
17 | 107.15 | 107.969 | 107.32 | 0.649573 | -0.819157 |
18 | 107.32 | 107.967 | 107.73 | 0.23755 | -0.647133 |
19 | 107.76 | 108.087 | 108.194 | -0.107212 | -0.326954 |
20 | 107.26 | 108.045 | 108.662 | -0.617331 | -0.785169 |
21 | 107.89 | 108.565 | 109.16 | -0.594831 | -0.675169 |
22 | 109.08 | 109.26 | 109.677 | -0.416974 | -0.180109 |
23 | 110.4 | 110.097 | 110.256 | -0.159058 | 0.302808 |
24 | 111.03 | 110.41 | 110.885 | -0.475784 | 0.620367 |
25 | 112.05 | 111.717 | 111.513 | 0.203919 | 0.333165 |
26 | 112.28 | 112.49 | 112.144 | 0.345764 | -0.209514 |
27 | 112.8 | 112.995 | 112.737 | 0.25874 | -0.195407 |
28 | 114.17 | 113.949 | 113.274 | 0.675645 | 0.220605 |
29 | 114.92 | 114.369 | 113.72 | 0.649573 | 0.550843 |
30 | 114.65 | 114.318 | 114.081 | 0.23755 | 0.331617 |
31 | 115.49 | 114.326 | 114.433 | -0.107212 | 1.1643 |
32 | 114.67 | 114.17 | 114.787 | -0.617331 | 0.500248 |
33 | 114.71 | 114.504 | 115.099 | -0.594831 | 0.205665 |
34 | 115.15 | 114.921 | 115.338 | -0.416974 | 0.229058 |
35 | 115.03 | 115.337 | 115.496 | -0.159058 | -0.306776 |
36 | 115.07 | 115.114 | 115.59 | -0.475784 | -0.0437996 |
37 | 116.46 | 115.804 | 115.6 | 0.203919 | 0.655665 |
38 | 116.37 | 115.916 | 115.57 | 0.345764 | 0.453819 |
39 | 116.2 | 115.804 | 115.545 | 0.25874 | 0.395843 |
40 | 116.5 | 116.184 | 115.508 | 0.675645 | 0.316438 |
41 | 116.38 | 116.135 | 115.485 | 0.649573 | 0.245427 |
42 | 115.44 | 115.708 | 115.471 | 0.23755 | -0.268383 |
43 | 114.96 | 115.339 | 115.447 | -0.107212 | -0.379454 |
44 | 114.48 | 114.823 | 115.44 | -0.617331 | -0.343085 |
45 | 114.3 | 114.891 | 115.486 | -0.594831 | -0.591002 |
46 | 114.66 | 115.14 | 115.557 | -0.416974 | -0.480109 |
47 | 114.97 | 115.48 | 115.639 | -0.159058 | -0.510109 |
48 | 114.79 | 115.287 | 115.763 | -0.475784 | -0.497133 |
49 | 116.16 | 116.129 | 115.925 | 0.203919 | 0.0310813 |
50 | 116.52 | 116.467 | 116.121 | 0.345764 | 0.0534028 |
51 | 117.14 | 116.622 | 116.364 | 0.25874 | 0.51751 |
52 | 117.27 | 117.298 | 116.622 | 0.675645 | -0.0277282 |
53 | 117.58 | 117.51 | 116.86 | 0.649573 | 0.0700099 |
54 | 117.21 | 117.342 | 117.104 | 0.23755 | -0.131716 |
55 | 117.08 | 117.227 | 117.334 | -0.107212 | -0.146538 |
56 | 117.06 | 116.925 | 117.542 | -0.617331 | 0.135248 |
57 | 117.55 | 117.129 | 117.724 | -0.594831 | 0.421081 |
58 | 117.61 | 117.479 | 117.896 | -0.416974 | 0.130724 |
59 | 117.74 | 117.94 | 118.099 | -0.159058 | -0.199692 |
60 | 117.87 | 117.86 | 118.335 | -0.475784 | 0.0103671 |
61 | 118.59 | 118.814 | 118.61 | 0.203919 | -0.223502 |
62 | 119.09 | 119.221 | 118.875 | 0.345764 | -0.130764 |
63 | 118.93 | 119.366 | 119.108 | 0.25874 | -0.43624 |
64 | 119.62 | 120.016 | 119.34 | 0.675645 | -0.396062 |
65 | 120.09 | 120.272 | 119.622 | 0.649573 | -0.182073 |
66 | 120.38 | 120.17 | 119.932 | 0.23755 | 0.20995 |
67 | 120.49 | 120.111 | 120.218 | -0.107212 | 0.378879 |
68 | 120.02 | 119.892 | 120.509 | -0.617331 | 0.128165 |
69 | 120.17 | 120.239 | 120.834 | -0.594831 | -0.0693353 |
70 | 120.58 | 120.725 | 121.142 | -0.416974 | -0.144692 |
71 | 121.54 | 121.26 | 121.419 | -0.159058 | 0.280308 |
72 | 121.51 | 121.2 | 121.675 | -0.475784 | 0.310367 |
73 | 121.81 | 122.113 | 121.909 | 0.203919 | -0.302669 |
74 | 122.85 | 122.523 | 122.178 | 0.345764 | 0.326736 |
75 | 122.97 | 122.75 | 122.491 | 0.25874 | 0.220427 |
76 | 122.96 | 123.514 | 122.838 | 0.675645 | -0.553978 |
77 | 123.4 | 123.837 | 123.188 | 0.649573 | -0.437073 |
78 | 123.23 | 123.746 | 123.508 | 0.23755 | -0.515883 |
79 | 123.24 | 123.751 | 123.858 | -0.107212 | -0.511121 |
80 | 123.72 | 123.611 | 124.228 | -0.617331 | 0.108998 |
81 | 123.99 | 124.009 | 124.604 | -0.594831 | -0.0189187 |
82 | 125.1 | 124.612 | 125.029 | -0.416974 | 0.487808 |
83 | 125.4 | 125.342 | 125.501 | -0.159058 | 0.0578075 |
84 | 125.35 | 125.528 | 126.004 | -0.475784 | -0.177966 |
85 | 126.37 | 126.693 | 126.489 | 0.203919 | -0.322669 |
86 | 127.17 | 127.244 | 126.898 | 0.345764 | -0.0740972 |
87 | 127.66 | 127.513 | 127.255 | 0.25874 | 0.146677 |
88 | 128.48 | 128.226 | 127.55 | 0.675645 | 0.254355 |
89 | 129.21 | 128.438 | 127.788 | 0.649573 | 0.772093 |
90 | 129.48 | 128.258 | 128.021 | 0.23755 | 1.22162 |
91 | 128.63 | NA | NA | -0.107212 | NA |
92 | 128.16 | NA | NA | -0.617331 | NA |
93 | 128.1 | NA | NA | -0.594831 | NA |
94 | 128.08 | NA | NA | -0.416974 | NA |
95 | 128.14 | NA | NA | -0.159058 | NA |
96 | 128.19 | NA | NA | -0.475784 | NA |