Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999956082704757
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2100.93100.640.290000000000006
3101.41100.9299872639840.48001273601561
4102.07101.4099789191390.660021080861043
5102.42102.0699710136590.350028986340675
6102.53102.4199846276740.11001537232633
7102.43102.529995168422-0.0999951684223959
8102.6102.4300043915170.169995608482651
9102.65102.5999925342530.0500074657473419
10102.74102.6499978038070.0900021961926285
11102.82102.7399960473470.0800039526530298
12103.2102.8199964864430.380003513557227
13102.75103.199983311273-0.449983311273499
14103.09102.750019762050.339980237950073
15103.71103.0899850689880.620014931012477
16104.3103.7099727706210.590027229378776
17104.58104.29997408760.280025912400035
18104.71104.5799877020190.130012297980656
19104.44104.709994290212-0.269994290211514
20104.57104.4400118574190.129988142581041
21104.95104.5699942912720.380005708727651
22105.49104.9499833111770.540016688822888
23106.03105.4899762839280.540023716072369
24106.48106.0299762836190.450023716380969
25106.25106.479980236176-0.229980236175578
26106.7106.250010100110.44998989989007
27107.6106.6999802376610.900019762339284
28108.05107.5999604735660.450039526433628
29108.72108.0499802354810.670019764518756
30109.17108.7199705745440.450029425455824
31109.08109.169980235925-0.0899802359248554
32109.04109.080003951689-0.0400039516885755
33109.34109.0400017568650.299998243134638
34109.37109.3399868248890.0300131751114208
35108.96109.369998681903-0.409998681902536
36108.77108.960018006033-0.190018006033171
37108.11108.770008345077-0.660008345076861
38108.67108.1100289857810.559971014218647
39109.05108.6699754075880.380024592412354
40109.43109.0499833103480.380016689652237
41109.62109.4299833106950.190016689305153
42109.85109.6199916549810.230008345019044
43109.34109.849989898656-0.50998989865559
44109.65109.3400223973770.30997760262305
45109.69109.6499863866220.0400136133778801
46109.91109.689998242710.22000175728968
47110.09109.9099903381180.180009661882139
48110.44110.0899920944630.350007905537467
49109.9110.439984628599-0.53998462859947
50110.25109.9000237146640.349976285335629
51111.26110.2499846299881.01001537001186
52111.74111.2599556428570.480044357143186
53111.91111.739978917750.170021082249761
54111.95111.9099925331340.0400074668660721
55111.63111.94999824298-0.319998242980276
56111.85111.6300140534570.219985946542693
57112.16111.8499903388120.310009661187777
58112.49112.1599863852140.330013614785813
59112.66112.4899855066950.170014493305359
60113.39112.6599925334230.730007466576708
61112.92113.389967940047-0.469967940046558
62113.44112.9200206397210.519979360279223
63114.68113.4399771639131.24002283608709
64115.38114.6799455415510.700054458448989
65115.48115.3799692555020.100030744498355
66115.41115.47999560692-0.0699956069202727
67114.92115.410003074018-0.490003074017736
68115.16114.920021519610.23997848039032
69115.89115.1599894607940.730010539205779
70116.25115.8899679399120.360032060088386
71116.43116.2499841883660.180015811634291
72116.83116.4299920941920.400007905807541
73116.17116.829982432735-0.659982432734694
74116.78116.1700289846430.609971015356649
75117.98116.7799732117231.20002678827717
76118.53117.9799472980690.550052701930753
77118.43118.529975843173-0.0999758431730839
78118.29118.430004390669-0.140004390668622
79117.85118.290006148614-0.44000614861416
80118.27117.850019323880.419980676120062
81119118.2699815555850.73001844441535
82119.33118.9999679395640.330032060435542
83119.17119.329985505885-0.159985505884563
84119.57119.1700070261310.399992973869303
85118.62119.56998243339-0.94998243339046
86119.09118.6200417206590.469958279341
87120.19119.0899793607031.1000206392965
88120.17120.189951690069-0.0199516900688081
89120.29120.1700008762240.119999123775742
90120.35120.2899947299630.0600052700369247
91119.88120.349997364731-0.469997364730844
92120.04119.8800206410130.159979358986988
93120.52120.0399929741390.480007025860729
94120.43120.51997891939-0.0899789193897078
95120.34120.430003951631-0.0900039516307771
96120.75120.340003952730.409996047269871


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
97120.749981994083119.941476330496121.558487657669
98120.749981994083119.606607426618121.893356561547
99120.749981994083119.349650106637122.150313881529
100120.749981994083119.13302392769122.366940060475
101120.749981994083118.942171887366122.557792100799
102120.749981994083118.76962814302122.730335845145
103120.749981994083118.610957597566122.889006390599
104120.749981994083118.463270520729123.036693467436
105120.749981994083118.324559689444123.175404298721
106120.749981994083118.193363651562123.306600336603
107120.749981994083118.06857912566123.431384862505
108120.749981994083117.949348969879123.550615018286