Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 100.64 | NA | NA | -0.729856 | NA |
2 | 100.93 | NA | NA | -0.466106 | NA |
3 | 101.41 | NA | NA | 0.245144 | NA |
4 | 102.07 | NA | NA | 0.48062 | NA |
5 | 102.42 | NA | NA | 0.475322 | NA |
6 | 102.53 | NA | NA | 0.366572 | NA |
7 | 102.43 | 102.134 | 102.291 | -0.157416 | 0.296166 |
8 | 102.6 | 102.304 | 102.469 | -0.165392 | 0.296225 |
9 | 102.65 | 102.633 | 102.655 | -0.0224157 | 0.0174157 |
10 | 102.74 | 102.873 | 102.844 | 0.0294891 | -0.133239 |
11 | 102.82 | 102.925 | 103.027 | -0.101761 | -0.104906 |
12 | 103.2 | 103.253 | 103.207 | 0.0457986 | -0.0532986 |
13 | 102.75 | 102.652 | 103.382 | -0.729856 | 0.0977728 |
14 | 103.09 | 103.082 | 103.548 | -0.466106 | 0.00818948 |
15 | 103.71 | 103.971 | 103.726 | 0.245144 | -0.260977 |
16 | 104.3 | 104.417 | 103.936 | 0.48062 | -0.11687 |
17 | 104.58 | 104.66 | 104.185 | 0.475322 | -0.0799058 |
18 | 104.71 | 104.822 | 104.455 | 0.366572 | -0.111572 |
19 | 104.44 | 104.58 | 104.738 | -0.157416 | -0.140084 |
20 | 104.57 | 104.868 | 105.034 | -0.165392 | -0.298358 |
21 | 104.95 | 105.324 | 105.346 | -0.0224157 | -0.373834 |
22 | 105.49 | 105.694 | 105.665 | 0.0294891 | -0.204072 |
23 | 106.03 | 105.892 | 105.993 | -0.101761 | 0.138428 |
24 | 106.48 | 106.397 | 106.352 | 0.0457986 | 0.0825347 |
25 | 106.25 | 106.001 | 106.731 | -0.729856 | 0.249023 |
26 | 106.7 | 106.644 | 107.11 | -0.466106 | 0.0556895 |
27 | 107.6 | 107.725 | 107.48 | 0.245144 | -0.124727 |
28 | 108.05 | 108.305 | 107.824 | 0.48062 | -0.254787 |
29 | 108.72 | 108.583 | 108.108 | 0.475322 | 0.136761 |
30 | 109.17 | 108.692 | 108.325 | 0.366572 | 0.478011 |
31 | 109.08 | 108.341 | 108.498 | -0.157416 | 0.739082 |
32 | 109.04 | 108.493 | 108.658 | -0.165392 | 0.547475 |
33 | 109.34 | 108.778 | 108.8 | -0.0224157 | 0.561999 |
34 | 109.37 | 108.948 | 108.918 | 0.0294891 | 0.422178 |
35 | 108.96 | 108.912 | 109.013 | -0.101761 | 0.0484276 |
36 | 108.77 | 109.125 | 109.079 | 0.0457986 | -0.354965 |
37 | 108.11 | 108.388 | 109.118 | -0.729856 | -0.278477 |
38 | 108.67 | 108.688 | 109.155 | -0.466106 | -0.0184772 |
39 | 109.05 | 109.44 | 109.195 | 0.245144 | -0.389727 |
40 | 109.43 | 109.712 | 109.232 | 0.48062 | -0.282287 |
41 | 109.62 | 109.777 | 109.301 | 0.475322 | -0.156572 |
42 | 109.85 | 109.784 | 109.418 | 0.366572 | 0.0655109 |
43 | 109.34 | 109.405 | 109.562 | -0.157416 | -0.0646677 |
44 | 109.65 | 109.537 | 109.703 | -0.165392 | 0.112892 |
45 | 109.69 | 109.838 | 109.86 | -0.0224157 | -0.148001 |
46 | 109.91 | 110.078 | 110.049 | 0.0294891 | -0.168239 |
47 | 110.09 | 110.139 | 110.24 | -0.101761 | -0.0486558 |
48 | 110.44 | 110.469 | 110.423 | 0.0457986 | -0.0291319 |
49 | 109.9 | 109.876 | 110.606 | -0.729856 | 0.0236062 |
50 | 110.25 | 110.327 | 110.793 | -0.466106 | -0.0772272 |
51 | 111.26 | 111.233 | 110.988 | 0.245144 | 0.0269395 |
52 | 111.74 | 111.679 | 111.198 | 0.48062 | 0.0610466 |
53 | 111.91 | 111.888 | 111.413 | 0.475322 | 0.0217609 |
54 | 111.95 | 112.009 | 111.643 | 0.366572 | -0.0594891 |
55 | 111.63 | 111.734 | 111.892 | -0.157416 | -0.104251 |
56 | 111.85 | 111.985 | 112.15 | -0.165392 | -0.135025 |
57 | 112.16 | 112.403 | 112.426 | -0.0224157 | -0.243418 |
58 | 112.49 | 112.749 | 112.72 | 0.0294891 | -0.259489 |
59 | 112.66 | 112.919 | 113.02 | -0.101761 | -0.258656 |
60 | 113.39 | 113.359 | 113.313 | 0.0457986 | 0.0308681 |
61 | 112.92 | 112.865 | 113.595 | -0.729856 | 0.0552728 |
62 | 113.44 | 113.403 | 113.87 | -0.466106 | 0.0365228 |
63 | 114.68 | 114.408 | 114.163 | 0.245144 | 0.271939 |
64 | 115.38 | 114.956 | 114.475 | 0.48062 | 0.42438 |
65 | 115.48 | 115.264 | 114.789 | 0.475322 | 0.215928 |
66 | 115.41 | 115.456 | 115.089 | 0.366572 | -0.0457391 |
67 | 114.92 | 115.211 | 115.368 | -0.157416 | -0.290501 |
68 | 115.16 | 115.477 | 115.643 | -0.165392 | -0.317108 |
69 | 115.89 | 115.897 | 115.919 | -0.0224157 | -0.00675099 |
70 | 116.25 | 116.217 | 116.188 | 0.0294891 | 0.0325942 |
71 | 116.43 | 116.34 | 116.442 | -0.101761 | 0.0896776 |
72 | 116.83 | 116.731 | 116.685 | 0.0457986 | 0.0992014 |
73 | 116.17 | 116.197 | 116.927 | -0.729856 | -0.0272272 |
74 | 116.78 | 116.713 | 117.179 | -0.466106 | 0.0673562 |
75 | 117.98 | 117.683 | 117.438 | 0.245144 | 0.296939 |
76 | 118.53 | 118.176 | 117.696 | 0.48062 | 0.353547 |
77 | 118.43 | 118.414 | 117.938 | 0.475322 | 0.0163442 |
78 | 118.29 | 118.533 | 118.167 | 0.366572 | -0.243239 |
79 | 117.85 | 118.226 | 118.383 | -0.157416 | -0.375501 |
80 | 118.27 | 118.416 | 118.581 | -0.165392 | -0.145858 |
81 | 119 | 118.747 | 118.77 | -0.0224157 | 0.252832 |
82 | 119.33 | 118.959 | 118.93 | 0.0294891 | 0.370511 |
83 | 119.17 | 118.974 | 119.076 | -0.101761 | 0.195928 |
84 | 119.57 | 119.285 | 119.239 | 0.0457986 | 0.285035 |
85 | 118.62 | 118.68 | 119.41 | -0.729856 | -0.0597272 |
86 | 119.09 | 119.102 | 119.568 | -0.466106 | -0.0118105 |
87 | 120.19 | 119.95 | 119.705 | 0.245144 | 0.239856 |
88 | 120.17 | 120.295 | 119.814 | 0.48062 | -0.124787 |
89 | 120.29 | 120.384 | 119.909 | 0.475322 | -0.0940724 |
90 | 120.35 | 120.373 | 120.007 | 0.366572 | -0.0232391 |
91 | 119.88 | NA | NA | -0.157416 | NA |
92 | 120.04 | NA | NA | -0.165392 | NA |
93 | 120.52 | NA | NA | -0.0224157 | NA |
94 | 120.43 | NA | NA | 0.0294891 | NA |
95 | 120.34 | NA | NA | -0.101761 | NA |
96 | 120.75 | NA | NA | 0.0457986 | NA |