Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.911162626834157
beta0.0127439084794517
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1392.6393.1837376454169-0.55373764541693
1492.792.851162958723-0.15116295872302
1592.4792.5591704342222-0.0891704342222113
1692.5892.6195916102733-0.039591610273277
1792.5592.53675177320170.0132482267982965
1892.5692.52236426865290.0376357313471516
1989.9291.2562781549184-1.33627815491838
2089.9689.991106048618-0.0311060486180423
2190.0389.49387833349730.536121666502652
2290.3189.6694985926870.640501407313025
2390.890.02967234392450.77032765607548
2490.3690.3578789949310.00212100506897173
2590.3190.9864681054127-0.676468105412695
2693.890.56515902306313.23484097693691
2793.9593.39962676360570.550373236394279
2893.9994.0951847025459-0.105184702545913
2994.4494.00165347950750.438346520492544
3094.1594.427080773229-0.277080773229031
3191.9192.7718182179469-0.861818217946862
3291.8692.1094407889745-0.249440788974468
3393.1291.50447747479071.61552252520931
3493.4792.72682895479860.74317104520135
3593.5793.24970158956530.320298410434702
3694.5793.14533820197531.42466179802466
3795.8595.11349194159980.736508058400219
3896.6296.44892918339030.171070816609671
3995.6996.2990876593732-0.609087659373188
4095.3995.9242379313443-0.534237931344293
4195.1495.5250293742436-0.385029374243643
4295.0795.1621658260215-0.0921658260214713
4394.2193.63631568544540.57368431455464
4495.494.3872581551931.01274184480705
4595.195.1507572236542-0.0507572236542018
4694.8994.81094138578480.0790586142151568
4795.4394.7206105214230.709389478577009
4894.8895.0986403568399-0.218640356839941
4996.0395.52665558601790.503344413982092
5096.3796.6141029186162-0.244102918616193
5196.0496.02595692044490.0140430795551367
5295.7296.242432833223-0.522432833222965
5395.7495.8841877672734-0.144187767273422
5495.7895.7866137434055-0.00661374340552356
5593.6694.4078044994179-0.747804499417953
5695.2993.99552607463071.29447392536927
5794.3394.929460485005-0.599460485004954
5895.6694.10419621452851.55580378547153
5995.295.4333163944259-0.233316394425856
6094.6194.8781098512689-0.268109851268889
6196.2195.33006696046530.879933039534649
6296.2796.7063621473819-0.436362147381928
6395.1295.975390144136-0.855390144136024
6495.5595.34899083364010.201009166359867
6593.5195.6906289940365-2.18062899403651
6692.8693.7311196892674-0.871119689267374
6792.4591.51309152141810.936908478581856
6893.3492.80230075429080.537699245709234
6992.0192.8704395545034-0.860439554503401
7091.7791.979176964635-0.20917696463502
7192.1991.51047351127880.679526488721194
7291.9791.76539496674040.204605033259597


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7392.702799748445591.105620262625194.2999792342658
7493.108820748428490.930250472041395.2873910248154
7592.720225440509990.084893564504995.3555573165148
7692.941280995514489.896343153885895.986218837143
7792.863703512415589.455916101302596.2714909235285
7893.010238027819289.259607626171896.7608684294667
7991.758885747601187.737097411346495.7806740838557
8092.159177635391787.817337724251196.5010175465323
8191.616303400282787.008354564806396.2242522357591
8291.574547678600386.68812890825696.4609664489446
8391.385490704678386.236993412709896.5339879966469
8490.984211144964171.1782085125972110.790213777331