Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 12374.6 | NA | NA | -772.888 | NA |
2 | 12864.7 | NA | NA | -277.939 | NA |
3 | 14905.8 | NA | NA | 1199.77 | NA |
4 | 12259.7 | NA | NA | 109.61 | NA |
5 | 14088.9 | NA | NA | 297.755 | NA |
6 | 14243.7 | NA | NA | 850.459 | NA |
7 | 12732.8 | 13547.8 | 13466 | 81.7588 | -814.971 |
8 | 11612 | 11981.8 | 13558.8 | -1577 | -369.762 |
9 | 14176.6 | 14299.8 | 13623.7 | 676.067 | -123.154 |
10 | 14452.6 | 14518.4 | 13710.6 | 807.709 | -65.7505 |
11 | 14512.7 | 13755.5 | 13783.6 | -28.0941 | 757.202 |
12 | 12645.1 | 12479.7 | 13846.9 | -1367.21 | 165.443 |
13 | 13820.5 | 13186 | 13958.9 | -772.888 | 634.53 |
14 | 13644.7 | 13801.7 | 14079.6 | -277.939 | -157.003 |
15 | 15684.1 | 15344.9 | 14145.2 | 1199.77 | 339.157 |
16 | 13568.3 | 14333 | 14223.4 | 109.61 | -764.714 |
17 | 14531.1 | 14596.6 | 14298.8 | 297.755 | -65.5011 |
18 | 15320.1 | 15164.8 | 14314.3 | 850.459 | 155.307 |
19 | 14344.2 | 14418.8 | 14337.1 | 81.7588 | -74.6338 |
20 | 12899.4 | 12819.7 | 14396.7 | -1577 | 79.6882 |
21 | 14462 | 15073 | 14397 | 676.067 | -611.046 |
22 | 16044.7 | 15247.3 | 14439.6 | 807.709 | 797.4 |
23 | 14731.2 | 14511.7 | 14539.8 | -28.0941 | 219.532 |
24 | 12798.3 | 13205.7 | 14572.9 | -1367.21 | -407.374 |
25 | 14213.1 | 13863.9 | 14636.8 | -772.888 | 349.167 |
26 | 14683.3 | 14383.6 | 14661.5 | -277.939 | 299.747 |
27 | 14652 | 15889.6 | 14689.9 | 1199.77 | -1237.64 |
28 | 15623.1 | 14799.3 | 14689.6 | 109.61 | 823.84 |
29 | 14880.4 | 14811.8 | 14514 | 297.755 | 68.6114 |
30 | 15765.7 | 15148.7 | 14298.3 | 850.459 | 616.966 |
31 | 15433.1 | 14118.7 | 14036.9 | 81.7588 | 1314.42 |
32 | 12402.6 | 12121.1 | 13698.1 | -1577 | 281.538 |
33 | 15639.8 | 14068.9 | 13392.8 | 676.067 | 1570.94 |
34 | 14861.7 | 13859.4 | 13051.7 | 807.709 | 1002.32 |
35 | 11699.4 | 12636.2 | 12664.3 | -28.0941 | -936.81 |
36 | 10651.9 | 10952.7 | 12319.9 | -1367.21 | -300.803 |
37 | 10086.9 | 11220 | 11992.9 | -772.888 | -1133.1 |
38 | 10676.9 | 11435.7 | 11713.6 | -277.939 | -758.765 |
39 | 11332.1 | 12675 | 11475.2 | 1199.77 | -1342.91 |
40 | 10756.1 | 11354.2 | 11244.6 | 109.61 | -598.089 |
41 | 10450.5 | 11455 | 11157.2 | 297.755 | -1004.5 |
42 | 11930.2 | 12065.4 | 11214.9 | 850.459 | -135.164 |
43 | 11419.9 | 11379.8 | 11298 | 81.7588 | 40.1412 |
44 | 9713.1 | 9811.99 | 11389 | -1577 | -98.891 |
45 | 12608.5 | 12236.9 | 11560.8 | 676.067 | 371.638 |
46 | 12357.2 | 12596.6 | 11788.9 | 807.709 | -239.4 |
47 | 12107.9 | 11968.1 | 11996.2 | -28.0941 | 139.832 |
48 | 11627.2 | 10856.2 | 12223.4 | -1367.21 | 771.047 |
49 | 11105.9 | 11651.8 | 12424.7 | -772.888 | -545.883 |
50 | 11841.6 | 12326.3 | 12604.2 | -277.939 | -484.665 |
51 | 14290.8 | 14008.1 | 12808.3 | 1199.77 | 282.732 |
52 | 13271.7 | 13104.2 | 12994.6 | 109.61 | 167.507 |
53 | 12909.4 | 13463.2 | 13165.5 | 297.755 | -553.809 |
54 | 14924.1 | 14174.5 | 13324 | 850.459 | 749.624 |
55 | 13257.4 | 13608 | 13526.2 | 81.7588 | -350.596 |
56 | 12184.4 | 12210.9 | 13787.9 | -1577 | -26.541 |
57 | 15035.5 | 14715.8 | 14039.7 | 676.067 | 319.708 |
58 | 14401 | 15043.3 | 14235.6 | 807.709 | -642.33 |
59 | 14165 | 14441.7 | 14469.8 | -28.0941 | -276.743 |
60 | 13375.6 | 13306.7 | 14673.9 | -1367.21 | 68.868 |
61 | 14210.8 | 14037.4 | 14810.3 | -772.888 | 173.359 |
62 | 15017.5 | 14688.3 | 14966.2 | -277.939 | 329.235 |
63 | 17157.8 | 16255.1 | 15055.3 | 1199.77 | 902.694 |
64 | 15106.2 | 15220.9 | 15111.2 | 109.61 | -114.656 |
65 | 16696.1 | 15497.9 | 15200.1 | 297.755 | 1198.22 |
66 | 16035.9 | 16138.8 | 15288.4 | 850.459 | -102.934 |
67 | 15418.9 | 15435.5 | 15353.8 | 81.7588 | -16.613 |
68 | 13763.9 | 13863.3 | 15440.3 | -1577 | -99.4243 |
69 | 15595.2 | 16195.1 | 15519 | 676.067 | -599.908 |
70 | 15183.1 | 16372.2 | 15564.5 | 807.709 | -1189.08 |
71 | 15515.9 | 15529.3 | 15557.4 | -28.0941 | -13.4059 |
72 | 14142.8 | 14166.2 | 15533.4 | -1367.21 | -23.3779 |
73 | 15012.7 | 14771.9 | 15544.8 | -772.888 | 240.759 |
74 | 16293.2 | 15295.9 | 15573.8 | -277.939 | 997.322 |
75 | 17771.4 | 16780.4 | 15580.6 | 1199.77 | 991.04 |
76 | 15582.8 | 15738.5 | 15628.9 | 109.61 | -155.714 |
77 | 16049.9 | 15994.9 | 15697.1 | 297.755 | 55.0156 |
78 | 16105.8 | 16545.8 | 15695.3 | 850.459 | -439.964 |
79 | 15623.6 | 15774.6 | 15692.8 | 81.7588 | -151 |
80 | 14254.9 | 14074.8 | 15651.8 | -1577 | 180.142 |
81 | 15266.8 | 16248.2 | 15572.2 | 676.067 | -981.425 |
82 | 16671 | 16387.4 | 15579.7 | 807.709 | 283.591 |
83 | 15665.4 | 15608.3 | 15636.4 | -28.0941 | 57.1441 |
84 | 13949.5 | 14276.6 | 15643.8 | -1367.21 | -327.053 |
85 | 15146.9 | 14919 | 15691.9 | -772.888 | 227.913 |
86 | 15172.9 | 15452 | 15730 | -277.939 | -279.12 |
87 | 16981.4 | 16969.7 | 15770 | 1199.77 | 11.6691 |
88 | 16553.8 | 15965.2 | 15855.6 | 109.61 | 588.577 |
89 | 16438.5 | 16189.8 | 15892 | 297.755 | 248.711 |
90 | 15895.1 | 16792.2 | 15941.7 | 850.459 | -897.084 |
91 | 16989 | NA | NA | 81.7588 | NA |
92 | 13803.5 | NA | NA | -1577 | NA |
93 | 16678.3 | NA | NA | 676.067 | NA |
94 | 17315.1 | NA | NA | 807.709 | NA |
95 | 15895.4 | NA | NA | -28.0941 | NA |
96 | 14912.1 | NA | NA | -1367.21 | NA |