Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 123.2 | NA | NA | 1.00928 | NA |
2 | 136.9 | NA | NA | 1.00273 | NA |
3 | 146.8 | NA | NA | 1.0006 | NA |
4 | 149.6 | NA | NA | 0.991056 | NA |
5 | 146.5 | NA | NA | 1.00276 | NA |
6 | 157 | NA | NA | 0.987578 | NA |
7 | 147.9 | 129.654 | 128.237 | 1.01105 | 1.14073 |
8 | 133.6 | 128.175 | 125.246 | 1.02339 | 1.04233 |
9 | 128.7 | 123.849 | 121.129 | 1.02245 | 1.03917 |
10 | 100.8 | 114.593 | 116.554 | 0.983172 | 0.879636 |
11 | 91.8 | 109.833 | 112.312 | 0.977919 | 0.835818 |
12 | 89.3 | 106.764 | 108.058 | 0.988019 | 0.836426 |
13 | 96.7 | 104.116 | 103.158 | 1.00928 | 0.928773 |
14 | 91.6 | 98.8146 | 98.5458 | 1.00273 | 0.926989 |
15 | 93.3 | 94.5151 | 94.4583 | 1.0006 | 0.987144 |
16 | 93.3 | 91.074 | 91.8958 | 0.991056 | 1.02444 |
17 | 101 | 91.6401 | 91.3875 | 1.00276 | 1.10214 |
18 | 100.4 | 90.5445 | 91.6833 | 0.987578 | 1.10885 |
19 | 86.9 | 92.7592 | 91.7458 | 1.01105 | 0.936834 |
20 | 83.9 | 93.5118 | 91.375 | 1.02339 | 0.897213 |
21 | 80.3 | 92.9706 | 90.9292 | 1.02245 | 0.863714 |
22 | 87.7 | 88.7395 | 90.2583 | 0.983172 | 0.988286 |
23 | 92.7 | 87.2222 | 89.1917 | 0.977919 | 1.0628 |
24 | 95.5 | 86.6946 | 87.7458 | 0.988019 | 1.10157 |
25 | 92 | 87.9421 | 87.1333 | 1.00928 | 1.04614 |
26 | 87.4 | 88.2734 | 88.0333 | 1.00273 | 0.990106 |
27 | 86.8 | 90.2167 | 90.1625 | 1.0006 | 0.962128 |
28 | 83.7 | 92.0774 | 92.9083 | 0.991056 | 0.909018 |
29 | 85 | 95.7472 | 95.4833 | 1.00276 | 0.887754 |
30 | 81.7 | 97.0296 | 98.25 | 0.987578 | 0.842011 |
31 | 90.9 | 102.916 | 101.792 | 1.01105 | 0.883245 |
32 | 101.5 | 108.863 | 106.375 | 1.02339 | 0.932368 |
33 | 113.8 | 113.854 | 111.354 | 1.02245 | 0.999525 |
34 | 120.1 | 114.732 | 116.696 | 0.983172 | 1.04679 |
35 | 122.1 | 119.705 | 122.408 | 0.977919 | 1.02 |
36 | 132.5 | 126.302 | 127.833 | 0.988019 | 1.04907 |
37 | 140 | 133.633 | 132.404 | 1.00928 | 1.04764 |
38 | 149.4 | 136.567 | 136.196 | 1.00273 | 1.09397 |
39 | 144.3 | 139.463 | 139.379 | 1.0006 | 1.03468 |
40 | 154.4 | 139.983 | 141.246 | 0.991056 | 1.10299 |
41 | 151.4 | 142.589 | 142.196 | 1.00276 | 1.06179 |
42 | 145.5 | 140.606 | 142.375 | 0.987578 | 1.0348 |
43 | 136.8 | 143.32 | 141.754 | 1.01105 | 0.954508 |
44 | 146.6 | 143.867 | 140.579 | 1.02339 | 1.019 |
45 | 145.1 | 142.444 | 139.317 | 1.02245 | 1.01864 |
46 | 133.6 | 135.424 | 137.742 | 0.983172 | 0.986533 |
47 | 131.4 | 132.577 | 135.571 | 0.977919 | 0.99112 |
48 | 127.5 | 132.172 | 133.775 | 0.988019 | 0.96465 |
49 | 130.1 | 135.122 | 133.879 | 1.00928 | 0.962835 |
50 | 131.1 | 135.744 | 135.375 | 1.00273 | 0.965787 |
51 | 132.3 | 136.761 | 136.679 | 1.0006 | 0.967379 |
52 | 128.6 | 137.047 | 138.283 | 0.991056 | 0.938367 |
53 | 125.1 | 140.696 | 140.308 | 1.00276 | 0.88915 |
54 | 128.7 | 140.615 | 142.383 | 0.987578 | 0.915267 |
55 | 156.1 | 145.822 | 144.229 | 1.01105 | 1.07048 |
56 | 163.2 | 149.056 | 145.65 | 1.02339 | 1.09489 |
57 | 159.8 | 150.083 | 146.787 | 1.02245 | 1.06474 |
58 | 157.4 | 145.128 | 147.612 | 0.983172 | 1.08456 |
59 | 156.2 | 145.16 | 148.437 | 0.977919 | 1.07605 |
60 | 152.5 | 147.474 | 149.262 | 0.988019 | 1.03408 |
61 | 149.4 | 149.34 | 147.967 | 1.00928 | 1.0004 |
62 | 145.9 | 144.606 | 144.212 | 1.00273 | 1.00895 |
63 | 144.8 | 139.976 | 139.892 | 1.0006 | 1.03446 |
64 | 135.9 | 134.424 | 135.638 | 0.991056 | 1.01098 |
65 | 137.6 | 131.68 | 131.317 | 1.00276 | 1.04496 |
66 | 136 | 125.361 | 126.938 | 0.987578 | 1.08487 |
67 | 117.7 | NA | NA | 1.01105 | NA |
68 | 111.5 | NA | NA | 1.02339 | NA |
69 | 107.8 | NA | NA | 1.02245 | NA |
70 | 107.3 | NA | NA | 0.983172 | NA |
71 | 102.6 | NA | NA | 0.977919 | NA |
72 | 101 | NA | NA | 0.988019 | NA |