Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | -5 | NA | NA | -3.12401 | NA |
2 | -6 | NA | NA | -1.29663 | NA |
3 | -6 | NA | NA | 1.81647 | NA |
4 | -7 | NA | NA | 2.03671 | NA |
5 | -12 | NA | NA | 1.2629 | NA |
6 | -16 | NA | NA | 0.756944 | NA |
7 | -18 | -14.4871 | -15.25 | 0.762897 | -3.5129 |
8 | -19 | -15.9514 | -16.8333 | 0.881944 | -3.04861 |
9 | -20 | -17.3919 | -18.0417 | 0.649802 | -2.60813 |
10 | -24 | -19.7907 | -18.7917 | -0.999008 | -4.20933 |
11 | -17 | -20.0526 | -19.25 | -0.802579 | 3.05258 |
12 | -23 | -21.2371 | -19.2917 | -1.94544 | -1.7629 |
13 | -25 | -21.9573 | -18.8333 | -3.12401 | -3.04266 |
14 | -24 | -19.4216 | -18.125 | -1.29663 | -4.57837 |
15 | -17 | -15.6002 | -17.4167 | 1.81647 | -1.3998 |
16 | -14 | -14.5466 | -16.5833 | 2.03671 | 0.546627 |
17 | -16 | -14.9454 | -16.2083 | 1.2629 | -1.05456 |
18 | -13 | -15.2847 | -16.0417 | 0.756944 | 2.28472 |
19 | -10 | -14.4454 | -15.2083 | 0.762897 | 4.44544 |
20 | -10 | -13.3681 | -14.25 | 0.881944 | 3.36806 |
21 | -12 | -12.7669 | -13.4167 | 0.649802 | 0.766865 |
22 | -12 | -13.7907 | -12.7917 | -0.999008 | 1.79067 |
23 | -20 | -13.0942 | -12.2917 | -0.802579 | -6.90575 |
24 | -16 | -13.5704 | -11.625 | -1.94544 | -2.42956 |
25 | -12 | -14.0823 | -10.9583 | -3.12401 | 2.08234 |
26 | -14 | -11.505 | -10.2083 | -1.29663 | -2.49504 |
27 | -7 | -7.4752 | -9.29167 | 1.81647 | 0.475198 |
28 | -9 | -6.37996 | -8.41667 | 2.03671 | -2.62004 |
29 | -9 | -5.8621 | -7.125 | 1.2629 | -3.1379 |
30 | -4 | -4.95139 | -5.70833 | 0.756944 | 0.951389 |
31 | -3 | -3.9871 | -4.75 | 0.762897 | 0.987103 |
32 | 1 | -2.86806 | -3.75 | 0.881944 | 3.86806 |
33 | -1 | -2.30853 | -2.95833 | 0.649802 | 1.30853 |
34 | -2 | -3.54067 | -2.54167 | -0.999008 | 1.54067 |
35 | 1 | -2.92758 | -2.125 | -0.802579 | 3.92758 |
36 | -3 | -3.9871 | -2.04167 | -1.94544 | 0.987103 |
37 | -2 | -5.54067 | -2.41667 | -3.12401 | 3.54067 |
38 | 0 | -4.54663 | -3.25 | -1.29663 | 4.54663 |
39 | -2 | -2.30853 | -4.125 | 1.81647 | 0.308532 |
40 | -4 | -2.83829 | -4.875 | 2.03671 | -1.16171 |
41 | -4 | -4.7371 | -6 | 1.2629 | 0.737103 |
42 | -7 | -6.40972 | -7.16667 | 0.756944 | -0.590278 |
43 | -9 | -7.44544 | -8.20833 | 0.762897 | -1.55456 |
44 | -13 | -8.28472 | -9.16667 | 0.881944 | -4.71528 |
45 | -8 | -9.3502 | -10 | 0.649802 | 1.3502 |
46 | -13 | -11.7073 | -10.7083 | -0.999008 | -1.29266 |
47 | -15 | -12.0942 | -11.2917 | -0.802579 | -2.90575 |
48 | -15 | -13.9454 | -12 | -1.94544 | -1.05456 |
49 | -15 | -15.9157 | -12.7917 | -3.12401 | 0.915675 |
50 | -10 | -14.7133 | -13.4167 | -1.29663 | 4.71329 |
51 | -12 | -12.4335 | -14.25 | 1.81647 | 0.433532 |
52 | -11 | -13.255 | -15.2917 | 2.03671 | 2.25496 |
53 | -11 | -14.8621 | -16.125 | 1.2629 | 3.8621 |
54 | -17 | -15.9514 | -16.7083 | 0.756944 | -1.04861 |
55 | -18 | -16.5704 | -17.3333 | 0.762897 | -1.42956 |
56 | -19 | -17.3681 | -18.25 | 0.881944 | -1.63194 |
57 | -22 | -18.3085 | -18.9583 | 0.649802 | -3.69147 |
58 | -24 | -20.0823 | -19.0833 | -0.999008 | -3.91766 |
59 | -24 | -19.8026 | -19 | -0.802579 | -4.19742 |
60 | -20 | -20.7788 | -18.8333 | -1.94544 | 0.77877 |
61 | -25 | -21.499 | -18.375 | -3.12401 | -3.50099 |
62 | -22 | -18.9633 | -17.6667 | -1.29663 | -3.03671 |
63 | -17 | -14.8085 | -16.625 | 1.81647 | -2.19147 |
64 | -9 | -13.0883 | -15.125 | 2.03671 | 4.08829 |
65 | -11 | -12.1121 | -13.375 | 1.2629 | 1.1121 |
66 | -13 | -11.1597 | -11.9167 | 0.756944 | -1.84028 |
67 | -11 | -9.69544 | -10.4583 | 0.762897 | -1.30456 |
68 | -9 | -8.11806 | -9 | 0.881944 | -0.881944 |
69 | -7 | -7.1002 | -7.75 | 0.649802 | 0.100198 |
70 | -3 | -7.79067 | -6.79167 | -0.999008 | 4.79067 |
71 | -3 | -6.92758 | -6.125 | -0.802579 | 3.92758 |
72 | -6 | -7.19544 | -5.25 | -1.94544 | 1.19544 |
73 | -4 | -7.37401 | -4.25 | -3.12401 | 3.37401 |
74 | -8 | -4.58829 | -3.29167 | -1.29663 | -3.41171 |
75 | -1 | -0.641865 | -2.45833 | 1.81647 | -0.358135 |
76 | -2 | 0.0367063 | -2 | 2.03671 | -2.03671 |
77 | -2 | -0.487103 | -1.75 | 1.2629 | -1.5129 |
78 | -1 | -0.618056 | -1.375 | 0.756944 | -0.381944 |
79 | 1 | -0.570437 | -1.33333 | 0.762897 | 1.57044 |
80 | 2 | -0.243056 | -1.125 | 0.881944 | 2.24306 |
81 | 2 | 0.0248016 | -0.625 | 0.649802 | 1.9752 |
82 | -1 | -1.49901 | -0.5 | -0.999008 | 0.499008 |
83 | 1 | -1.30258 | -0.5 | -0.802579 | 2.30258 |
84 | -1 | -2.4871 | -0.541667 | -1.94544 | 1.4871 |
85 | -8 | -3.83234 | -0.708333 | -3.12401 | -4.16766 |
86 | 1 | -2.46329 | -1.16667 | -1.29663 | 3.46329 |
87 | 2 | 0.0664683 | -1.75 | 1.81647 | 1.93353 |
88 | -2 | -0.12996 | -2.16667 | 2.03671 | -1.87004 |
89 | -2 | -1.19544 | -2.45833 | 1.2629 | -0.804563 |
90 | -2 | -1.82639 | -2.58333 | 0.756944 | -0.173611 |
91 | -2 | NA | NA | 0.762897 | NA |
92 | -6 | NA | NA | 0.881944 | NA |
93 | -4 | NA | NA | 0.649802 | NA |
94 | -5 | NA | NA | -0.999008 | NA |
95 | -2 | NA | NA | -0.802579 | NA |
96 | -1 | NA | NA | -1.94544 | NA |