Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 8.41 | NA | NA | -0.122321 | NA |
2 | 8.39 | NA | NA | -0.148929 | NA |
3 | 8.43 | NA | NA | -0.20381 | NA |
4 | 8.44 | NA | NA | 0.12619 | NA |
5 | 8.49 | NA | NA | 0.141607 | NA |
6 | 8.47 | NA | NA | 0.163333 | NA |
7 | 8.53 | 8.6375 | 8.485 | 0.1525 | -0.1075 |
8 | 8.52 | 8.55994 | 8.4975 | 0.0624405 | -0.0399405 |
9 | 8.51 | 8.48661 | 8.5175 | -0.0308929 | 0.0233929 |
10 | 8.53 | 8.52661 | 8.53958 | -0.0129762 | 0.00339286 |
11 | 8.54 | 8.47667 | 8.555 | -0.0783333 | 0.0633333 |
12 | 8.53 | 8.51286 | 8.56167 | -0.0488095 | 0.0171429 |
13 | 8.47 | 8.44685 | 8.56917 | -0.122321 | 0.0231548 |
14 | 8.63 | 8.42982 | 8.57875 | -0.148929 | 0.200179 |
15 | 8.67 | 8.37744 | 8.58125 | -0.20381 | 0.29256 |
16 | 8.73 | 8.70827 | 8.58208 | 0.12619 | 0.0217262 |
17 | 8.57 | 8.72036 | 8.57875 | 0.141607 | -0.150357 |
18 | 8.55 | 8.7375 | 8.57417 | 0.163333 | -0.1875 |
19 | 8.63 | 8.74458 | 8.59208 | 0.1525 | -0.114583 |
20 | 8.65 | 8.67369 | 8.61125 | 0.0624405 | -0.0236905 |
21 | 8.44 | 8.58952 | 8.62042 | -0.0308929 | -0.149524 |
22 | 8.62 | 8.61119 | 8.62417 | -0.0129762 | 0.00880952 |
23 | 8.37 | 8.54875 | 8.62708 | -0.0783333 | -0.17875 |
24 | 8.59 | 8.58369 | 8.6325 | -0.0488095 | 0.00630952 |
25 | 8.84 | 8.52018 | 8.6425 | -0.122321 | 0.319821 |
26 | 8.72 | 8.51107 | 8.66 | -0.148929 | 0.208929 |
27 | 8.8 | 8.48161 | 8.68542 | -0.20381 | 0.318393 |
28 | 8.69 | 8.84161 | 8.71542 | 0.12619 | -0.151607 |
29 | 8.68 | 8.88577 | 8.74417 | 0.141607 | -0.205774 |
30 | 8.57 | 8.93125 | 8.76792 | 0.163333 | -0.36125 |
31 | 8.85 | 8.92542 | 8.77292 | 0.1525 | -0.0754167 |
32 | 8.85 | 8.84536 | 8.78292 | 0.0624405 | 0.00464286 |
33 | 8.85 | 8.77369 | 8.80458 | -0.0308929 | 0.0763095 |
34 | 8.93 | 8.81619 | 8.82917 | -0.0129762 | 0.11381 |
35 | 8.75 | 8.77958 | 8.85792 | -0.0783333 | -0.0295833 |
36 | 8.78 | 8.84077 | 8.88958 | -0.0488095 | -0.0607738 |
37 | 8.77 | 8.79185 | 8.91417 | -0.122321 | -0.0218452 |
38 | 9.03 | 8.77649 | 8.92542 | -0.148929 | 0.253512 |
39 | 9.01 | 8.73077 | 8.93458 | -0.20381 | 0.279226 |
40 | 9.07 | 9.06494 | 8.93875 | 0.12619 | 0.00505952 |
41 | 8.99 | 9.08077 | 8.93917 | 0.141607 | -0.0907738 |
42 | 9.02 | 9.10583 | 8.9425 | 0.163333 | -0.0858333 |
43 | 8.99 | 9.1025 | 8.95 | 0.1525 | -0.1125 |
44 | 8.98 | 9.00869 | 8.94625 | 0.0624405 | -0.0286905 |
45 | 8.94 | 8.90036 | 8.93125 | -0.0308929 | 0.0396429 |
46 | 8.94 | 8.94619 | 8.95917 | -0.0129762 | -0.00619048 |
47 | 8.75 | 8.96542 | 9.04375 | -0.0783333 | -0.215417 |
48 | 8.86 | 9.09952 | 9.14833 | -0.0488095 | -0.239524 |
49 | 8.87 | 9.1381 | 9.26042 | -0.122321 | -0.268095 |
50 | 8.84 | 9.2219 | 9.37083 | -0.148929 | -0.381905 |
51 | 8.84 | 9.27119 | 9.475 | -0.20381 | -0.43119 |
52 | 9.91 | 9.70911 | 9.58292 | 0.12619 | 0.200893 |
53 | 10.18 | 9.85286 | 9.71125 | 0.141607 | 0.327143 |
54 | 10.34 | 10.0158 | 9.8525 | 0.163333 | 0.324167 |
55 | 10.36 | 10.1417 | 9.98917 | 0.1525 | 0.218333 |
56 | 10.26 | 10.1866 | 10.1242 | 0.0624405 | 0.0733929 |
57 | 10.16 | 10.2291 | 10.26 | -0.0308929 | -0.0691071 |
58 | 10.31 | 10.3724 | 10.3854 | -0.0129762 | -0.0624405 |
59 | 10.46 | 10.4233 | 10.5017 | -0.0783333 | 0.0366667 |
60 | 10.54 | 10.5674 | 10.6163 | -0.0488095 | -0.0274405 |
61 | 10.47 | 10.6031 | 10.7254 | -0.122321 | -0.133095 |
62 | 10.48 | 10.6815 | 10.8304 | -0.148929 | -0.201488 |
63 | 10.46 | 10.7291 | 10.9329 | -0.20381 | -0.269107 |
64 | 11.3 | 11.1558 | 11.0296 | 0.12619 | 0.144226 |
65 | 11.58 | 11.2691 | 11.1275 | 0.141607 | 0.310893 |
66 | 11.69 | 11.3929 | 11.2296 | 0.163333 | 0.297083 |
67 | 11.63 | 11.4725 | 11.32 | 0.1525 | 0.1575 |
68 | 11.51 | 11.4591 | 11.3967 | 0.0624405 | 0.0508929 |
69 | 11.37 | 11.4374 | 11.4683 | -0.0308929 | -0.0674405 |
70 | 11.42 | 11.5133 | 11.5262 | -0.0129762 | -0.0932738 |
71 | 11.7 | 11.4879 | 11.5662 | -0.0783333 | 0.212083 |
72 | 11.75 | 11.5504 | 11.5992 | -0.0488095 | 0.199643 |
73 | 11.43 | 11.5168 | 11.6392 | -0.122321 | -0.0868452 |
74 | 11.36 | 11.5402 | 11.6892 | -0.148929 | -0.180238 |
75 | 11.3 | 11.5499 | 11.7537 | -0.20381 | -0.24994 |
76 | 11.85 | 11.9541 | 11.8279 | 0.12619 | -0.104107 |
77 | 11.99 | 12.0308 | 11.8892 | 0.141607 | -0.0407738 |
78 | 12.07 | 12.1046 | 11.9413 | 0.163333 | -0.0345833 |
79 | 12.21 | 12.1604 | 12.0079 | 0.1525 | 0.0495833 |
80 | 12.13 | 12.1512 | 12.0888 | 0.0624405 | -0.0211905 |
81 | 12.3 | 12.1379 | 12.1688 | -0.0308929 | 0.162143 |
82 | 12.27 | 12.2187 | 12.2317 | -0.0129762 | 0.0513095 |
83 | 12.32 | 12.1929 | 12.2712 | -0.0783333 | 0.127083 |
84 | 12.38 | 12.2599 | 12.3088 | -0.0488095 | 0.12006 |
85 | 12.4 | 12.2177 | 12.34 | -0.122321 | 0.182321 |
86 | 12.33 | 12.2136 | 12.3625 | -0.148929 | 0.116429 |
87 | 12.25 | 12.1745 | 12.3783 | -0.20381 | 0.0754762 |
88 | 12.41 | 12.5108 | 12.3846 | 0.12619 | -0.100774 |
89 | 12.38 | 12.5149 | 12.3733 | 0.141607 | -0.13494 |
90 | 12.58 | 12.5167 | 12.3533 | 0.163333 | 0.0633333 |
91 | 12.45 | NA | NA | 0.1525 | NA |
92 | 12.43 | NA | NA | 0.0624405 | NA |
93 | 12.38 | NA | NA | -0.0308929 | NA |
94 | 12.34 | NA | NA | -0.0129762 | NA |
95 | 11.98 | NA | NA | -0.0783333 | NA |
96 | 12.24 | NA | NA | -0.0488095 | NA |