Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 551.91 | NA | NA | -1.22646 | NA |
2 | 551.46 | NA | NA | -1.25962 | NA |
3 | 550.12 | NA | NA | -0.562654 | NA |
4 | 549.95 | NA | NA | -0.666761 | NA |
5 | 548.01 | NA | NA | -0.0784871 | NA |
6 | 548.92 | NA | NA | 0.555144 | NA |
7 | 548.92 | 549.387 | 548.105 | 1.28175 | -0.466751 |
8 | 549.06 | 548.814 | 547.374 | 1.44002 | 0.245809 |
9 | 547.07 | 547.644 | 546.599 | 1.04574 | -0.574489 |
10 | 546.5 | 546.232 | 545.838 | 0.394251 | 0.268249 |
11 | 544.95 | 544.763 | 545.127 | -0.364023 | 0.187356 |
12 | 544.23 | 543.904 | 544.462 | -0.558904 | 0.326404 |
13 | 544.23 | 542.536 | 543.762 | -1.22646 | 1.69396 |
14 | 541.6 | 541.763 | 543.022 | -1.25962 | -0.162882 |
15 | 541.37 | 541.812 | 542.375 | -0.562654 | -0.442346 |
16 | 540.43 | 541.201 | 541.868 | -0.666761 | -0.771156 |
17 | 540.47 | 541.227 | 541.305 | -0.0784871 | -0.756513 |
18 | 540.52 | 541.293 | 540.738 | 0.555144 | -0.773061 |
19 | 540.52 | 541.512 | 540.23 | 1.28175 | -0.992168 |
20 | 539.7 | 541.256 | 539.816 | 1.44002 | -1.55586 |
21 | 540.89 | 540.657 | 539.612 | 1.04574 | 0.232594 |
22 | 540.51 | 539.946 | 539.551 | 0.394251 | 0.564499 |
23 | 537.43 | 539.118 | 539.482 | -0.364023 | -1.68764 |
24 | 538.14 | 538.842 | 539.401 | -0.558904 | -0.70193 |
25 | 538.14 | 538.118 | 539.344 | -1.22646 | 0.0222966 |
26 | 537.74 | 537.956 | 539.216 | -1.25962 | -0.216215 |
27 | 540.33 | 538.361 | 538.923 | -0.562654 | 1.96932 |
28 | 540.02 | 537.907 | 538.574 | -0.666761 | 2.11259 |
29 | 539.21 | 538.288 | 538.367 | -0.0784871 | 0.92182 |
30 | 539.84 | 538.823 | 538.268 | 0.555144 | 1.01694 |
31 | 539.84 | 539.454 | 538.172 | 1.28175 | 0.386166 |
32 | 537.3 | 539.515 | 538.075 | 1.44002 | -2.21544 |
33 | 536.27 | 538.93 | 537.884 | 1.04574 | -2.65991 |
34 | 536.75 | 538.009 | 537.615 | 0.394251 | -1.25883 |
35 | 536.21 | 537.175 | 537.539 | -0.364023 | -0.965144 |
36 | 536.99 | 537.139 | 537.698 | -0.558904 | -0.14943 |
37 | 536.99 | 536.687 | 537.913 | -1.22646 | 0.30313 |
38 | 536.57 | 536.998 | 538.257 | -1.25962 | -0.427882 |
39 | 536.91 | 538.095 | 538.658 | -0.562654 | -1.18485 |
40 | 536.97 | 538.171 | 538.838 | -0.666761 | -1.20116 |
41 | 540.45 | 538.824 | 538.902 | -0.0784871 | 1.62599 |
42 | 542.42 | 539.507 | 538.952 | 0.555144 | 2.91319 |
43 | 542.42 | 540.237 | 538.955 | 1.28175 | 2.18325 |
44 | 542.98 | 540.384 | 538.944 | 1.44002 | 2.59581 |
45 | 540.19 | 539.886 | 538.84 | 1.04574 | 0.304261 |
46 | 537.16 | 539.149 | 538.755 | 0.394251 | -1.98883 |
47 | 537.35 | 538.256 | 538.62 | -0.364023 | -0.905977 |
48 | 537.03 | 537.708 | 538.267 | -0.558904 | -0.67818 |
49 | 537.03 | 536.616 | 537.843 | -1.22646 | 0.413547 |
50 | 536.27 | 536.197 | 537.456 | -1.25962 | 0.0733681 |
51 | 534.71 | 536.679 | 537.242 | -0.562654 | -1.96943 |
52 | 537.12 | 536.536 | 537.203 | -0.666761 | 0.583844 |
53 | 537.07 | 537.088 | 537.166 | -0.0784871 | -0.0177629 |
54 | 537.33 | 537.487 | 536.932 | 0.555144 | -0.157227 |
55 | 537.33 | 537.82 | 536.538 | 1.28175 | -0.489668 |
56 | 538.79 | 537.64 | 536.2 | 1.44002 | 1.14998 |
57 | 539.24 | 537.053 | 536.008 | 1.04574 | 2.18676 |
58 | 537.17 | 536.159 | 535.765 | 0.394251 | 1.01075 |
59 | 536.46 | 535.074 | 535.438 | -0.364023 | 1.38611 |
60 | 532.3 | 534.61 | 535.169 | -0.558904 | -2.31026 |
61 | 532.3 | 533.678 | 534.904 | -1.22646 | -1.3777 |
62 | 532.89 | 533.319 | 534.578 | -1.25962 | -0.428715 |
63 | 533.47 | 533.616 | 534.178 | -0.562654 | -0.14568 |
64 | 532.54 | 533.241 | 533.908 | -0.666761 | -0.700739 |
65 | 533.8 | 533.671 | 533.75 | -0.0784871 | 0.128904 |
66 | 534.15 | 534.273 | 533.718 | 0.555144 | -0.122644 |
67 | 534.15 | 535.123 | 533.841 | 1.28175 | -0.972584 |
68 | 534.15 | 535.412 | 533.972 | 1.44002 | -1.26169 |
69 | 534.28 | 535.231 | 534.185 | 1.04574 | -0.950739 |
70 | 535.63 | 534.871 | 534.477 | 0.394251 | 0.758666 |
71 | 534.21 | 534.266 | 534.63 | -0.364023 | -0.0555605 |
72 | 533.78 | 534.069 | 534.627 | -0.558904 | -0.288596 |
73 | 533.78 | 533.388 | 534.614 | -1.22646 | 0.392297 |
74 | 534.55 | 533.332 | 534.591 | -1.25962 | 1.21837 |
75 | 536.93 | 533.938 | 534.501 | -0.562654 | 2.99182 |
76 | 536.09 | 533.504 | 534.171 | -0.666761 | 2.58551 |
77 | 533.91 | 533.604 | 533.683 | -0.0784871 | 0.30557 |
78 | 533.99 | 533.793 | 533.238 | 0.555144 | 0.196523 |
79 | 533.99 | 533.787 | 532.505 | 1.28175 | 0.202832 |
80 | 533.76 | 532.868 | 531.428 | 1.44002 | 0.892475 |
81 | 532.5 | 531.187 | 530.142 | 1.04574 | 1.31259 |
82 | 529.5 | 529.003 | 528.609 | 0.394251 | 0.496582 |
83 | 528.62 | 526.728 | 527.092 | -0.364023 | 1.89194 |
84 | 528.7 | 525.047 | 525.606 | -0.558904 | 3.65307 |
85 | 521.27 | 522.866 | 524.093 | -1.22646 | -1.59645 |
86 | 521.19 | 521.395 | 522.655 | -1.25962 | -0.204965 |
87 | 519.43 | 520.798 | 521.36 | -0.562654 | -1.36776 |
88 | 516.81 | 519.568 | 520.235 | -0.666761 | -2.75782 |
89 | 516.78 | 519.137 | 519.215 | -0.0784871 | -2.35693 |
90 | 515.45 | 518.673 | 518.117 | 0.555144 | -3.22264 |
91 | 516.22 | NA | NA | 1.28175 | NA |
92 | 517.01 | NA | NA | 1.44002 | NA |
93 | 518.19 | NA | NA | 1.04574 | NA |
94 | 516.79 | NA | NA | 0.394251 | NA |
95 | 516.87 | NA | NA | -0.364023 | NA |
96 | 514.1 | NA | NA | -0.558904 | NA |