Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 93.6 | NA | NA | -10.4763 | NA |
2 | 103.5 | NA | NA | -2.58668 | NA |
3 | 127 | NA | NA | 13.7717 | NA |
4 | 117.5 | NA | NA | -0.828342 | NA |
5 | 111.5 | NA | NA | 5.56541 | NA |
6 | 137.6 | NA | NA | 17.8649 | NA |
7 | 103.2 | 106.014 | 114.688 | -8.67313 | -2.81437 |
8 | 86.9 | 91.4691 | 115.871 | -24.4018 | -4.56905 |
9 | 124.4 | 120.691 | 116.512 | 4.17895 | 3.70855 |
10 | 113.6 | 117.812 | 116.542 | 1.2701 | -4.21176 |
11 | 101.6 | 106.991 | 117.342 | -10.3507 | -5.39093 |
12 | 148.5 | 132.945 | 118.279 | 14.6659 | 15.5549 |
13 | 108.3 | 108.074 | 118.55 | -10.4763 | 0.226259 |
14 | 117.2 | 116.522 | 119.108 | -2.58668 | 0.678342 |
15 | 128.7 | 133.351 | 119.579 | 13.7717 | -4.65082 |
16 | 116.5 | 118.955 | 119.783 | -0.828342 | -2.45499 |
17 | 131.7 | 125.807 | 120.242 | 5.56541 | 5.89293 |
18 | 139.9 | 138.427 | 120.562 | 17.8649 | 1.47261 |
19 | 107.4 | 111.998 | 120.671 | -8.67313 | -4.5977 |
20 | 96.1 | 96.3899 | 120.792 | -24.4018 | -0.289887 |
21 | 126.5 | 125.504 | 121.325 | 4.17895 | 0.99605 |
22 | 116.4 | 123.283 | 122.012 | 1.2701 | -6.8826 |
23 | 109.8 | 111.824 | 122.175 | -10.3507 | -2.02426 |
24 | 148 | 137.141 | 122.475 | 14.6659 | 10.8591 |
25 | 111.4 | 112.911 | 123.387 | -10.4763 | -1.51124 |
26 | 117 | 121.576 | 124.162 | -2.58668 | -4.57582 |
27 | 141.7 | 137.922 | 124.15 | 13.7717 | 3.77834 |
28 | 120 | 124.105 | 124.933 | -0.828342 | -4.10499 |
29 | 132.1 | 131.774 | 126.208 | 5.56541 | 0.326259 |
30 | 146.7 | 143.469 | 125.604 | 17.8649 | 3.23095 |
31 | 122.5 | 116.956 | 125.629 | -8.67313 | 5.54397 |
32 | 99.6 | 102.369 | 126.771 | -24.4018 | -2.76905 |
33 | 122.7 | 130.504 | 126.325 | 4.17895 | -7.80395 |
34 | 139 | 126.874 | 125.604 | 1.2701 | 12.1257 |
35 | 117.8 | 114.778 | 125.129 | -10.3507 | 3.02157 |
36 | 125.5 | 138.808 | 124.142 | 14.6659 | -13.3076 |
37 | 134.5 | 112.665 | 123.142 | -10.4763 | 21.8346 |
38 | 121.3 | 119.73 | 122.317 | -2.58668 | 1.57001 |
39 | 126.7 | 135.613 | 121.842 | 13.7717 | -8.91332 |
40 | 117.7 | 119.567 | 120.396 | -0.828342 | -1.86749 |
41 | 123 | 123.203 | 117.637 | 5.56541 | -0.202908 |
42 | 132.1 | 133.307 | 115.442 | 17.8649 | -1.20655 |
43 | 113.1 | 103.331 | 112.004 | -8.67313 | 9.76897 |
44 | 89.2 | 83.7899 | 108.192 | -24.4018 | 5.41011 |
45 | 121.7 | 109.925 | 105.746 | 4.17895 | 11.7752 |
46 | 105.3 | 104.158 | 102.887 | 1.2701 | 1.1424 |
47 | 85.3 | 89.0368 | 99.3875 | -10.3507 | -3.73676 |
48 | 105.3 | 110.553 | 95.8875 | 14.6659 | -5.25343 |
49 | 72.2 | 82.4446 | 92.9208 | -10.4763 | -10.2446 |
50 | 92.1 | 88.0258 | 90.6125 | -2.58668 | 4.07418 |
51 | 97.2 | 102.034 | 88.2625 | 13.7717 | -4.83416 |
52 | 78.6 | 85.2383 | 86.0667 | -0.828342 | -6.63832 |
53 | 78.1 | 90.4404 | 84.875 | 5.56541 | -12.3404 |
54 | 93 | 102.011 | 84.1458 | 17.8649 | -9.01072 |
55 | 81 | 75.3102 | 83.9833 | -8.67313 | 5.6898 |
56 | 65.9 | 59.5024 | 83.9042 | -24.4018 | 6.39761 |
57 | 88.6 | 88.7289 | 84.55 | 4.17895 | -0.12895 |
58 | 85.7 | 87.2701 | 86 | 1.2701 | -1.5701 |
59 | 76.3 | 76.9159 | 87.2667 | -10.3507 | -0.615929 |
60 | 96.8 | 103.47 | 88.8042 | 14.6659 | -6.6701 |
61 | 76.8 | 79.7237 | 90.2 | -10.4763 | -2.92374 |
62 | 85.6 | 88.9092 | 91.4958 | -2.58668 | -3.30916 |
63 | 119.2 | 106.917 | 93.1458 | 13.7717 | 12.2825 |
64 | 91.4 | 94.2008 | 95.0292 | -0.828342 | -2.80082 |
65 | 95.7 | 102.395 | 96.8292 | 5.56541 | -6.69457 |
66 | 112.3 | 116.707 | 98.8417 | 17.8649 | -4.40655 |
67 | 95.2 | 92.256 | 100.929 | -8.67313 | 2.94397 |
68 | 82.8 | 78.7982 | 103.2 | -24.4018 | 4.00178 |
69 | 111.3 | 109.225 | 105.046 | 4.17895 | 2.07522 |
70 | 108.2 | 107.778 | 106.508 | 1.2701 | 0.421571 |
71 | 97 | 97.9868 | 108.338 | -10.3507 | -0.986762 |
72 | 124.4 | 124.058 | 109.392 | 14.6659 | 0.342405 |
73 | 99.3 | 99.5154 | 109.992 | -10.4763 | -0.215408 |
74 | 117.6 | 108.097 | 110.683 | -2.58668 | 9.50334 |
75 | 131.5 | 124.909 | 111.138 | 13.7717 | 6.59084 |
76 | 114.2 | 110.63 | 111.458 | -0.828342 | 3.57001 |
77 | 116.8 | 117.549 | 111.983 | 5.56541 | -0.748741 |
78 | 116.5 | 130.407 | 112.542 | 17.8649 | -13.9066 |
79 | 105.4 | 104.385 | 113.058 | -8.67313 | 1.0148 |
80 | 89.2 | 88.7316 | 113.133 | -24.4018 | 0.468446 |
81 | 115.8 | 116.966 | 112.788 | 4.17895 | -1.16645 |
82 | 111.4 | 114.666 | 113.396 | 1.2701 | -3.26593 |
83 | 106.4 | 104.812 | 115.162 | -10.3507 | 1.58824 |
84 | 128.4 | 132.724 | 118.058 | 14.6659 | -4.32426 |
85 | 107.7 | 108.503 | 118.979 | -10.4763 | -0.802908 |
86 | 111 | 114.913 | 117.5 | -2.58668 | -3.91332 |
87 | 129.8 | 130.051 | 116.279 | 13.7717 | -0.250825 |
88 | 130.5 | 114.63 | 115.458 | -0.828342 | 15.87 |
89 | 142.9 | 120.457 | 114.892 | 5.56541 | 22.4429 |
90 | 159.9 | 131.74 | 113.875 | 17.8649 | 28.1601 |
91 | 84.1 | 103.277 | 111.95 | -8.67313 | -19.1769 |
92 | 75 | 85.2774 | 109.679 | -24.4018 | -10.2774 |
93 | 100.7 | 111.783 | 107.604 | 4.17895 | -11.0831 |
94 | 106.8 | 106.187 | 104.917 | 1.2701 | 0.613238 |
95 | 97.4 | 90.8826 | 101.233 | -10.3507 | 6.5174 |
96 | 113 | 111.828 | 97.1625 | 14.6659 | 1.17157 |
97 | 76.9 | 84.8904 | 95.3667 | -10.4763 | -7.99041 |
98 | 87.3 | 92.955 | 95.5417 | -2.58668 | -5.65499 |
99 | 103.7 | 109.33 | 95.5583 | 13.7717 | -5.62999 |
100 | 92.1 | 95.3008 | 96.1292 | -0.828342 | -3.20082 |
101 | 92.9 | 103.203 | 97.6375 | 5.56541 | -10.3029 |
102 | 112.2 | 118.161 | 100.296 | 17.8649 | -5.96072 |
103 | 88.7 | NA | NA | -8.67313 | NA |
104 | 74.6 | NA | NA | -24.4018 | NA |
105 | 101.5 | NA | NA | 4.17895 | NA |
106 | 119.7 | NA | NA | 1.2701 | NA |
107 | 120.7 | NA | NA | -10.3507 | NA |
108 | 153.5 | NA | NA | 14.6659 | NA |