Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 304040 | NA | NA | 12868.1 | NA |
2 | 307100 | NA | NA | 14138.3 | NA |
3 | 304330 | NA | NA | 8895.23 | NA |
4 | 294710 | NA | NA | 3059.81 | NA |
5 | 286890 | NA | NA | -2278.76 | NA |
6 | 279050 | NA | NA | -5351.02 | NA |
7 | 271860 | 270909 | 275107 | -4198.34 | 950.843 |
8 | 266710 | 266252 | 270411 | -4159.47 | 458.224 |
9 | 259590 | 256796 | 265161 | -8365.19 | 2794.36 |
10 | 253830 | 250446 | 259543 | -9097.21 | 3384.3 |
11 | 250640 | 247547 | 253793 | -6245.84 | 3092.51 |
12 | 249140 | 248807 | 248073 | 734.454 | 332.629 |
13 | 250840 | 255446 | 242578 | 12868.1 | -4606.42 |
14 | 247590 | 251440 | 237302 | 14138.3 | -3849.93 |
15 | 237830 | 241009 | 232114 | 8895.23 | -3179.39 |
16 | 226380 | 230076 | 227016 | 3059.81 | -3696.06 |
17 | 217230 | 219797 | 222076 | -2278.76 | -2567.49 |
18 | 211420 | 211914 | 217265 | -5351.02 | -493.562 |
19 | 207620 | 208402 | 212600 | -4198.34 | -782.073 |
20 | 204310 | 203840 | 208000 | -4159.47 | 469.891 |
21 | 197490 | 195140 | 203505 | -8365.19 | 2349.77 |
22 | 193580 | 190276 | 199373 | -9097.21 | 3304.3 |
23 | 192330 | 189365 | 195611 | -6245.84 | 2964.59 |
24 | 191970 | 192782 | 192047 | 734.454 | -811.538 |
25 | 196070 | 201456 | 188588 | 12868.1 | -5386.42 |
26 | 191940 | 199397 | 185258 | 14138.3 | -7456.6 |
27 | 185620 | 191021 | 182126 | 8895.23 | -5401.06 |
28 | 179410 | 182319 | 179260 | 3059.81 | -2909.39 |
29 | 173920 | 174422 | 176701 | -2278.76 | -502.073 |
30 | 169190 | 169275 | 174626 | -5351.02 | -84.8115 |
31 | 166840 | 168989 | 173188 | -4198.34 | -2149.16 |
32 | 165170 | 168429 | 172588 | -4159.47 | -3258.86 |
33 | 161450 | 164688 | 173053 | -8365.19 | -3237.73 |
34 | 160830 | 165532 | 174629 | -9097.21 | -4701.95 |
35 | 163670 | 170987 | 177232 | -6245.84 | -7316.66 |
36 | 170830 | 181626 | 180892 | 734.454 | -10796.1 |
37 | 182690 | 198506 | 185638 | 12868.1 | -15816 |
38 | 190940 | 205392 | 191254 | 14138.3 | -14452.4 |
39 | 197770 | 206486 | 197590 | 8895.23 | -8715.64 |
40 | 205090 | 207721 | 204662 | 3059.81 | -2631.48 |
41 | 210720 | 210068 | 212347 | -2278.76 | 652.093 |
42 | 220210 | 215076 | 220427 | -5351.02 | 5133.94 |
43 | 229730 | 224544 | 228742 | -4198.34 | 5186.26 |
44 | 237070 | 232883 | 237042 | -4159.47 | 4187.39 |
45 | 241620 | 236288 | 244653 | -8365.19 | 5331.86 |
46 | 250370 | 241957 | 251054 | -9097.21 | 8413.46 |
47 | 258570 | 250080 | 256326 | -6245.84 | 8489.59 |
48 | 269860 | 261148 | 260414 | 734.454 | 8711.8 |
49 | 283220 | 276279 | 263411 | 12868.1 | 6940.66 |
50 | 289610 | 279817 | 265679 | 14138.3 | 9792.57 |
51 | 281770 | 276084 | 267189 | 8895.23 | 5685.61 |
52 | 274700 | 270776 | 267717 | 3059.81 | 3923.52 |
53 | 267650 | 265225 | 267504 | -2278.76 | 2425.01 |
54 | 261380 | 261681 | 267032 | -5351.02 | -301.478 |
55 | 260500 | 262288 | 266487 | -4198.34 | -1788.32 |
56 | 260730 | 261378 | 265538 | -4159.47 | -648.442 |
57 | 254200 | 255853 | 264218 | -8365.19 | -1653.14 |
58 | 250450 | 253780 | 262878 | -9097.21 | -3330.29 |
59 | 253380 | 255364 | 261610 | -6245.84 | -1983.74 |
60 | 263740 | 261311 | 260576 | 734.454 | 2429.3 |
61 | 276240 | 272681 | 259813 | 12868.1 | 3559 |
62 | 273820 | 273405 | 259266 | 14138.3 | 415.486 |
63 | 265890 | 267807 | 258912 | 8895.23 | -1917.31 |
64 | 258400 | 261931 | 258871 | 3059.81 | -3531.06 |
65 | 253520 | 256861 | 259140 | -2278.76 | -3341.24 |
66 | 250710 | 254229 | 259580 | -5351.02 | -3518.98 |
67 | 252850 | 256278 | 260476 | -4198.34 | -3427.91 |
68 | 255260 | 258000 | 262160 | -4159.47 | -2740.11 |
69 | 251170 | 256075 | 264440 | -8365.19 | -4904.81 |
70 | 252500 | 257984 | 267081 | -9097.21 | -5483.62 |
71 | 257780 | 263795 | 270041 | -6245.84 | -6015.41 |
72 | 269900 | 273993 | 273259 | 734.454 | -4093.2 |
73 | 291590 | 289668 | 276800 | 12868.1 | 1921.91 |
74 | 298870 | 294850 | 280711 | 14138.3 | 4020.49 |
75 | 295570 | 293853 | 284958 | 8895.23 | 1716.86 |
76 | 292100 | 292623 | 289563 | 3059.81 | -522.728 |
77 | 290870 | 292363 | 294642 | -2278.76 | -1492.91 |
78 | 290580 | 294908 | 300259 | -5351.02 | -4327.73 |
79 | 297970 | 302225 | 306424 | -4198.34 | -4255.41 |
80 | 304010 | 308744 | 312903 | -4159.47 | -4733.86 |
81 | 304340 | 311286 | 319651 | -8365.19 | -6946.06 |
82 | 309850 | 317702 | 326799 | -9097.21 | -7851.95 |
83 | 322320 | 327817 | 334062 | -6245.84 | -5496.66 |
84 | 340170 | 342209 | 341474 | 734.454 | -2038.62 |
85 | 369280 | 362159 | 349290 | 12868.1 | 7121.5 |
86 | 376690 | 371425 | 357287 | 14138.3 | 5264.65 |
87 | 379700 | 374155 | 365260 | 8895.23 | 5545.19 |
88 | 379520 | 376419 | 373359 | 3059.81 | 3101.44 |
89 | 377770 | 379209 | 381488 | -2278.76 | -1439.16 |
90 | 381560 | 384233 | 389584 | -5351.02 | -2673.14 |
91 | 394580 | NA | NA | -4198.34 | NA |
92 | 399320 | NA | NA | -4159.47 | NA |
93 | 400370 | NA | NA | -8365.19 | NA |
94 | 408200 | NA | NA | -9097.21 | NA |
95 | 419070 | NA | NA | -6245.84 | NA |
96 | 437730 | NA | NA | 734.454 | NA |