Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.03393249138588
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
399.8499.440.400000000000006
4100.3100.2335729965540.0664270034456393
5100.38100.695827030277-0.315827030276552
6100.02100.765110232292-0.745110232292262
799.83100.379826785753-0.549826785753481
8100.36100.1711697930820.188830206917828
9100.74100.7075772724520.0324227275481803
10100.49101.088677456375-0.598677456375043
11100.33100.818362838744-0.488362838743669
1299.96100.641791470925-0.681791470924821
13100.08100.248656587711-0.1686565877107
14100.54100.3629336495010.177066350498976
15101.63100.8289419519140.80105804808592
16102.12101.946123847230.173876152769679
17102.19102.442023898286-0.25202389828641
18101.77102.503472099529-0.733472099528768
19101.29102.05858356383-0.768583563829708
20101.47101.552503608671-0.0825036086707485
21102.07101.729704055680.340295944319777
22102.11102.341251144879-0.231251144879494
23102.26102.373404217398-0.1134042173979
24101.83102.519556129768-0.689556129767922
25102.11102.0661577723340.0438422276655075
26102.8102.3476454483470.452354551652903
27103.82103.0529949652740.767005034725585
28104.2104.0990213570080.100978642991848
29104.57104.4824478139420.0875521860583461
30104.38104.855418677741-0.475418677740876
31104.54104.649286537554-0.109286537553743
32104.74104.80557817306-0.0655781730596345
33105.19105.0033529422670.186647057732827
34104.95105.459686341946-0.509686341945894
35104.57105.202391414538-0.632391414538318
36103.81104.800932798312-0.990932798311974
37104.08104.0073079796690.0726920203307202
38104.81104.2797746010230.530225398977024
39105.86105.0277664698060.832233530193662
40106.1106.106006226901-0.00600622690068064
41106.24106.345802420658-0.105802420658108
42105.87106.482212280931-0.612212280930507
43104.74106.091438392982-1.35143839298152
44105.03104.9155807213530.114419278646892
45105.59105.209463252540.380536747459814
46105.69105.782375812445-0.0923758124453826
47105.58105.879241270985-0.299241270985306
48104.96105.759087269135-0.799087269135299
49104.93105.111972247259-0.181972247258784
50105.68105.0757974755460.604202524453783
51106.93105.8462995725031.08370042749742
52107.29107.1330722279240.156927772076486
53107.25107.498397178198-0.248397178197706
54106.74107.449968443088-0.709968443088229
55106.44106.915877445009-0.475877445008891
56106.6106.5997297377050.000270262294606027
57107.26106.7597389083780.500261091621638
58107.35107.436714013561-0.086714013560524
59107.22107.523771591042-0.303771591042334
60106.99107.383463864146-0.393463864146028
61106.87107.140112654965-0.270112654965217
62107.68107.0109470596270.669052940372595
63108.9107.8436496927631.0563503072367
64109.48109.0994942904640.380505709535925
65109.57109.692405797175-0.12240579717519
66109.03109.778252263517-0.748252263516946
67109.58109.2128622000310.367137799969299
68109.76109.775320100266-0.0153201002655834
69110.15109.9548002510950.195199748904699
70110.2110.351423864894-0.15142386489353
71109.86110.396285675902-0.53628567590242
72109.58110.038088166824-0.458088166824481
73109.52109.74254409405-0.222544094049738
74110.35109.6749926184950.675007381504585
75111.61110.5278973006541.08210269934628
76112.06111.8246157411780.235384258822066
77111.9112.282602915513-0.382602915512777
78111.36112.109620245378-0.74962024537794
79112.09111.5441837628590.54581623714104
80112.24112.292704667624-0.0527046676240417
81112.7112.4409162669440.25908373305613
82113.36112.9097076234840.450292376515961
83112.9113.584987165671-0.684987165671274
84112.74113.101743844573-0.361743844572715
85112.77112.929468974683-0.159468974682852
86113.66112.9540577950730.705942204926899
87114.87113.8680121728611.00198782713929
88114.97115.112012116174-0.142012116173888
89115115.207193291265-0.207193291265114
90114.57115.230162706694-0.660162706694052
91115.54114.7777617413360.762238258664141
92115.39115.773626384482-0.383626384481985
93115.46115.610608985495-0.150608985495154
94115.13115.675498447392-0.545498447392205
95114.56115.326988326025-0.766988326025043
96114.62114.730962501259-0.110962501259138


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
97114.787197267141113.782498408098115.791896126184
98114.954394534282113.509228069151116.399560999413
99115.121591801423113.321707509629116.921476093217
100115.288789068564113.175739998334117.401838138794
101115.455986335705113.054526496332117.857446175078
102115.623183602846112.949607917604118.296759288088
103115.790380869987112.856050682856118.724711057118
104115.957578137128112.770699729123119.144456545133
105116.124775404269112.691404977744119.558145830795
106116.29197267141112.616631372672119.967313970148
107116.459169938551112.545243261039120.373096616063
108116.626367205692112.476376587625120.776357823759