Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[140]) |
139 | 622 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
140 | 606 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
141 | 508 | 0 | -587.1227 | 587.1227 | 0.045 | 0.0215 | 0.0215 | 0.0215 |
142 | 461 | 0 | -587.1227 | 587.1227 | 0.0619 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.0215 |
143 | 390 | 0 | -587.1227 | 587.1227 | 0.0965 | 0.0619 | 0.0619 | 0.0215 |
144 | 432 | 0 | -587.1227 | 587.1227 | 0.0746 | 0.0965 | 0.0965 | 0.0215 |
Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
141 | Inf | Inf | 0 | 258064 | 0 | 0 |
142 | Inf | Inf | Inf | 212521 | 235292.5 | 485.0696 |
143 | Inf | Inf | Inf | 152100 | 207561.6667 | 455.5894 |
144 | Inf | Inf | Inf | 186624 | 202327.25 | 449.808 |